Foxcroft David R, Callen Howard, Davies Emma L, Okulicz-Kozaryn Katarzyna
Department of Psychology, Social Work and Public Health, Oxford Brookes University, Oxford, UK.
Medical Statistics Programme, Oxford Brookes University, Oxford, UK.
Eur J Public Health. 2017 Jun 1;27(3):494-500. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckw195.
: The Strengthening Families Programme for youth aged 10-14 and parents/carers (SFP10-14) is a family-based prevention intervention with positive results in trials in the United States. We assessed the effectiveness of SFP10-14 for preventing substance misuse in Poland. : Cluster randomized controlled trial with 20 communities (511 families; 614 young people) were allocated to SFP10-14 or a control arms. Primary outcomes were alcohol, smoking and other drug use. Secondary outcomes included parenting practices, parent-child relations, and child problem behaviour. Interview-based questionnaires were administered at baseline and at 12- and 24-months post-baseline, with respective 70.4 and 54.4%, follow-up rates. : In Bayesian regression models with complete case data we found no effects of SFP10-14 for any of the primary or secondary outcomes at either follow-up. For example at 24-months, posterior odds ratios and 95% credible intervals for past year alcohol use, past month binge drinking, past year smoking, and past year other drug use, were 0.83 (0.44-1.56), 0.83 (0.27-2.65), 1.94 (0.76-5.38) and 0.74 (0.15-3.58), respectively. Although moderate to high attrition rates, together with some evidence of systematic attrition bias according to parent education and family disposable income, could have biased the results, the results were supported in further analyses with propensity score matched data and 40 multiple imputed datasets. : We found no evidence for the effectiveness of SFP10-14 on the prevention of alcohol or tobacco use, parenting behaviour, parent-child relations or child problem behaviour at 12- or 24-month follow-up in a large cluster randomized controlled trial in Poland.
针对10至14岁青少年及其父母/照料者的强化家庭计划(SFP10 - 14)是一项基于家庭的预防干预措施,在美国的试验中取得了积极成果。我们评估了SFP10 - 14在波兰预防药物滥用方面的有效性。:采用整群随机对照试验,将20个社区(511个家庭;614名青少年)分配到SFP10 - 14组或对照组。主要结局指标为酒精、吸烟和其他药物使用情况。次要结局指标包括养育方式、亲子关系和儿童问题行为。在基线以及基线后12个月和24个月时采用基于访谈的问卷进行调查,随访率分别为70.4%和54.4%。:在使用完整病例数据的贝叶斯回归模型中,我们发现SFP10 - 14对任何主要或次要结局指标在任何一次随访中均无效果。例如,在24个月时,过去一年饮酒、过去一个月暴饮、过去一年吸烟和过去一年其他药物使用的后验优势比及95%可信区间分别为0.83(0.44 - 1.56)、0.83(0.27 - 2.65)、1.94(0.76 - 5.38)和0.74(0.15 - 3.58)。尽管存在中度到高度的失访率,以及一些根据父母教育程度和家庭可支配收入的系统性失访偏差证据可能使结果产生偏差,但在倾向得分匹配数据和40个多重插补数据集进行的进一步分析中,结果得到了支持。:在波兰一项大型整群随机对照试验中,我们发现在12个月或24个月随访时,没有证据表明SFP10 - 14在预防酒精或烟草使用、养育行为、亲子关系或儿童问题行为方面有效。