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生育率下降、家庭性别构成与养老期望

Fertility Decline, Gender Composition of Families, and Expectations of Old Age Support.

作者信息

Allendorf Keera

机构信息

Sociology and International Studies, Indiana University, 1020 E. Kirkwood Ave., Ballantine Hall 744, Bloomington, IN 47405,.

出版信息

Popul Res Policy Rev. 2015 Aug;34(4):511-539. doi: 10.1007/s11113-014-9354-5. Epub 2014 Dec 19.

Abstract

Recent fertility declines in non-Western countries may have the potential to transform gender systems. One pathway for such transformations is the creation of substantial proportions of families with children of only one gender. Such families, particularly those with only daughters, may facilitate greater symmetry between sons and daughters. This article explores whether such shifts may influence gendered expectations of old age support. In keeping with patriarchal family systems, old age support is customarily provided by sons, but not daughters, in India. Using data from the 2005 Indian Human Development Survey, I find that women with sons overwhelmingly expect old age support from a son. By contrast, women with only daughters largely expect support from a daughter or a source besides a child. These findings suggest that fertility decline may place demographic pressure on gendered patterns of old age support and the gender system more broadly.

摘要

近期非西方国家生育率的下降可能有改变性别体系的潜力。这种转变的一条途径是出现大量只有一种性别的子女的家庭。这样的家庭,尤其是那些只有女儿的家庭,可能会促进子女之间更大程度的平等。本文探讨这种转变是否会影响对老年赡养的性别期望。与父权制家庭体系一致,在印度,老年赡养通常由儿子而非女儿提供。利用2005年印度人类发展调查的数据,我发现有儿子的女性绝大多数期望儿子提供老年赡养。相比之下,只有女儿的女性大多期望女儿或子女以外的来源提供赡养。这些发现表明,生育率下降可能会给老年赡养的性别模式以及更广泛的性别体系带来人口压力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/96eb/5362165/163765955b6e/nihms851502f1.jpg

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