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中国新年假期期间人口流动对北京城市气候的影响。

Influence of human population movements on urban climate of Beijing during the Chinese New Year holiday.

机构信息

Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China.

University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2017 Mar 30;7:45813. doi: 10.1038/srep45813.

Abstract

The population movements for the Chinese New Year (CNY) celebrations, known as the world's largest yearly migration of human beings, have grown rapidly in the past several decades. The massive population outflows from urban areas largely reduce anthropogenic heat release and modify some other processes, and may thus have noticeable impacts on urban climate of large cities in China. Here, we use Beijing as an example to present observational evidence for such impacts over the period of 1990-2014. Our results show a significant cooling trend of up to 0.55 °C per decade, particularly at the nighttime during the CNY holiday relative to the background period. The average nighttime cooling effect during 2005-2014 reaches 0.94 °C relative to the 1990s, significant at the 99% confidence level. The further analysis supports that the cooling during the CNY holiday is attributable primarily to the population outflow of Beijing. These findings illustrate the importance of population movements in influencing urban climate despite certain limitations. As the world is becoming more mobile and increasingly urban, more efforts are called for to understand the role of human mobility at various spatial and temporal scales.

摘要

春运是全球最大的年度人口迁移,在过去几十年中迅速增长。大量人口从城市流出,极大地减少了人为热释放,并改变了其他一些过程,因此可能对中国大城市的城市气候产生显著影响。在这里,我们以北京为例,提供了 1990-2014 年期间的观测证据。研究结果表明,夜间存在显著的降温趋势,每十年降温高达 0.55°C,尤其是在春节假期期间。与 20 世纪 90 年代相比,2005-2014 年期间的平均夜间降温效应达到 0.94°C,置信水平达到 99%。进一步的分析支持,春节假期的降温主要归因于北京的人口外流。这些发现表明,尽管存在一定的局限性,人口流动对城市气候的影响仍然很重要。随着世界变得更加流动和城市化程度的提高,需要更多的努力来理解在不同时空尺度上人类流动的作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ac8/5372473/0129eff76368/srep45813-f1.jpg

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