Suppr超能文献

人为引起的气候变化:人类活动改变了城市化地区的气候,并且可能会影响未来的全球气候。

Man-Made Climatic Changes: Man's activities have altered the climate of urbanized areas and may affect global climate in the future.

出版信息

Science. 1970 Dec 18;170(3964):1265-74. doi: 10.1126/science.170.3964.1265.

Abstract

Natural climatic fluctuations, even those of recent years, cover a considerable range. They can be characterized as a "noise" spectrum which masks possible global effects of man-caused increases of atmospheric CO(2) and particulates. Local modifications, either deliberate or inadvertent, measurably affect the microclimate. Some artificial alterations of the microlimate are beneficial in agriculture. Among the unplanned effects, those produced by urbanization on local temperature and on wind field are quite pronounced. The influences on rainfall are still somewhat controversial, but effects may extend considerably beyond the confines of metropolitan areas. They are the result of water vapor released by human activity and of the influence of condensation and freezing nuclei produced in overabundance by motor vehicles and other combustion processes. Therefore it appears that on the local scale man-made influences on climate are substantial but that on the global scale natural forces still prevail. Obviously this should not lead to complacency. The potential for anthropogenic changes of climate on a larger and even a global scale is real. At this stage activation of an adequate worldwide monitoring system to permit early assessment of these changes is urgent. This statement applies particularly to the surveillance of atmospheric composition and radiation balance at sites remote from concentrations of population, which is now entirely inadequate. In my opinion, man-made aerosols, because of their optical properties and possible influences on cloud and precipitation processes, constitute a more acute problem than CO(2). Many of their effects are promptly reversible; hence, one should strive for elimination at the source. Over longer intervals, energy added to the atmosphere by heat rejection and CO(2) absorption remain matters of concern.

摘要

自然气候波动,即使是近年来的波动,也涵盖了相当大的范围。它们可以被描述为一个“噪声”谱,掩盖了人为增加大气 CO(2) 和颗粒物可能产生的全球影响。无论是有意还是无意的局部变化,都会对小气候产生可测量的影响。一些人工改变小气候对农业是有益的。在非计划性影响中,城市化对当地温度和风场的影响相当显著。对降雨量的影响仍存在一些争议,但影响可能远远超出大都市区的范围。这些影响是人类活动释放的水蒸气以及汽车和其他燃烧过程中过多产生的凝结和冻结核的影响造成的。因此,在局部尺度上,人为对气候的影响似乎很大,但在全球尺度上,自然力量仍然占主导地位。显然,这不应导致自满。人为改变气候的潜力在更大的范围内,甚至在全球范围内都是真实存在的。在现阶段,激活一个充分的全球监测系统以允许对这些变化进行早期评估是紧迫的。这一说法尤其适用于监测远离人口集中地区的大气成分和辐射平衡,而目前这方面的监测是完全不够的。在我看来,人为气溶胶因其光学性质和对云和降水过程可能产生的影响,构成了比 CO(2) 更紧迫的问题。它们的许多影响是可以迅速逆转的;因此,应该努力从源头消除它们。在较长的时间间隔内,通过热排放和 CO(2) 吸收向大气中添加的能量仍然是值得关注的问题。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验