Breslow N E, Norkool P A, Olshan A, Evans A, D'Angio G J
Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle 98195.
J Natl Cancer Inst. 1988 Jun 15;80(8):592-5. doi: 10.1093/jnci/80.8.592.
Between October 1969 and December 1982, 2,438 patients were enrolled in the National Wilms' Tumor Study and contributed 14,381 person-years of observation to a follow-up study for the occurrence of second malignant neoplasms (SMNs). Fifteen SMNs were observed, whereas 1.77 would have been expected from U.S. incidence rates for 1973-1977 [relative risk = 8.5; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 4.7, 14.0]. Ten years after the Wilms' tumor diagnosis, the cumulative risk of SMN was 1%. The relative risks compared to standard rates were 12/1.11 = 10.8 (95% CI = 5.6, 18.9) for those who received radiation as part of the initial course of treatment and 3/0.60 = 5.0 (95% CI = 1.0, 14.6) for those who did not, but this difference was not statistically significant. Preliminary data suggest that substantial numbers of SMNs occur as patients are followed greater than 10 years from diagnosis.
1969年10月至1982年12月期间,2438名患者被纳入国家肾母细胞瘤研究,为第二项恶性肿瘤(SMNs)发生情况的随访研究贡献了14381人年的观察数据。观察到15例SMNs,而根据1973 - 1977年美国发病率预计应为1.77例[相对风险 = 8.5;95%置信区间(CI)= 4.7,14.0]。肾母细胞瘤诊断后10年,SMN的累积风险为1%。与标准发病率相比,初始治疗过程中接受放疗的患者相对风险为12/1.11 = 10.8(95% CI = 5.6,18.9),未接受放疗的患者相对风险为3/0.60 = 5.0(95% CI = 1.0,14.6),但这种差异无统计学意义。初步数据表明,大量SMNs发生在诊断后随访超过10年的患者中。