Way M J, Del Genio Anthony D, Kiang Nancy Y, Sohl Linda E, Grinspoon David H, Aleinov Igor, Kelley Maxwell, Clune Thomas
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York, New York, USA.
Department of Astronomy & Space Physics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Geophys Res Lett. 2016 Aug 28;43(16):8376-8383. doi: 10.1002/2016GL069790. Epub 2016 Aug 11.
Present-day Venus is an inhospitable place with surface temperatures approaching 750K and an atmosphere 90 times as thick as Earth's. Billions of years ago the picture may have been very different. We have created a suite of 3-D climate simulations using topographic data from the Magellan mission, solar spectral irradiance estimates for 2.9 and 0.715 Gya, present-day Venus orbital parameters, an ocean volume consistent with current theory, and an atmospheric composition estimated for early Venus. Using these parameters we find that such a world could have had moderate temperatures if Venus had a rotation period slower than ~16 Earth days, despite an incident solar flux 46-70% higher than Earth receives. At its current rotation period, Venus's climate could have remained habitable until at least 715 million years ago. These results demonstrate the role rotation and topography play in understanding the climatic history of Venus-like exoplanets discovered in the present epoch.
如今的金星是一个不适宜居住的地方,其表面温度接近750K,大气层厚度是地球的90倍。数十亿年前,情况可能大不相同。我们利用麦哲伦任务的地形数据、29亿年前和7.15亿年前的太阳光谱辐照度估计值、如今金星的轨道参数、与当前理论一致的海洋体积以及早期金星的大气成分估计值,创建了一组三维气候模拟。利用这些参数,我们发现,如果金星的自转周期慢于约16个地球日,那么这样一个世界可能会有适中的温度,尽管其接收到的太阳辐射通量比地球高46%至70%。以其当前的自转周期,金星的气候可能至少在7.15亿年前一直适宜居住。这些结果证明了自转和地形在理解当前时代发现的类金星系外行星气候历史中所起的作用。