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美国脊索瘤患者的预后因素和生存结果:一项基于人群的分析。

Prognostic Factors and Survival Outcome in Patients with Chordoma in the United States: A Population-Based Analysis.

作者信息

Lee Ivan J, Lee Robert J, Fahim Daniel K

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, Oakland University William Beaumont School of Medicine, Royal Oak, Michigan, USA.

Division of Orthodontics, UCSF School of Dentistry, San Francisco, California, USA.

出版信息

World Neurosurg. 2017 Aug;104:346-355. doi: 10.1016/j.wneu.2017.04.118. Epub 2017 Apr 27.

DOI:10.1016/j.wneu.2017.04.118
PMID:28457925
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate prognostic factors of patients with chordoma through a population-based analysis.

METHODS

Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for patients with chordoma from 1973 to 2013. Kaplan-Meier univariate analysis and Cox regression multivariate analysis were performed to examine prognostic factors in overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS).

RESULTS

One thousand five hundred ninety-eight patients with chordoma are identified. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that OS and DSS were 61% and 71% at 5 years and 41% and 57% at 10 years. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that independent predictors of OS and DSS are age at diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR]= 2.80 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 2.12-3.70], P < 0.001; HR = 1.60 [95% CI, 1.18-2.16], P = 0.002), surgical treatment (HR = 0.62 [95% CI, 0.52-0.73], P < 0.001; HR = 0.64 [95% CI, 0.52-0.79], P < 0.001), radiation therapy (HR = 1.23 [95% CI, 1.07-1.42], P = 0.004; HR = 1.29 [95% CI, 1.09-1.54], P = 0.004), tumor size (HR = 1.53 [95% CI, 1.32-1.78], P < 0.001; HR = 1.62 [95% CI, 1.35-1.94], P < 0.001) and distant metastasis (HR = 3.40 [95% CI, 2.45-4.71], P < 0.001; HR = 3.77 [95% CI, 2.61-5.45], P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We report the largest study to date to evaluate prognostic factors of patients with chordoma. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that older age, greater tumor size, and distant metastasis were correlated with decreased survival, whereas surgical resection was correlated with increased survival. Patients receiving radiation therapy also showed decreased survival, likely an indication of the patients' advanced stage of disease, making them poor surgical candidates.

摘要

目的

通过基于人群的分析评估脊索瘤患者的预后因素。

方法

查询监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中1973年至2013年的脊索瘤患者。进行Kaplan-Meier单因素分析和Cox回归多因素分析,以检验总生存(OS)和疾病特异性生存(DSS)的预后因素。

结果

共识别出1598例脊索瘤患者。Kaplan-Meier分析显示,5年时OS和DSS分别为61%和71%,10年时分别为41%和57%。多因素Cox回归分析表明,OS和DSS的独立预测因素为诊断时年龄(风险比[HR]=2.80[95%置信区间{CI},2.12 - 3.70],P<0.001;HR = 1.60[95%CI,1.18 - 2.16],P = 0.002)、手术治疗(HR = 0.62[95%CI,0.52 - 0.73],P<0.001;HR = 0.64[95%CI,0.52 - 0.79],P<0.001)、放射治疗(HR = 1.23[95%CI,1.07 - 1.42],P = 0.004;HR = 1.29[95%CI,1.09 - 1.54],P = 0.004)、肿瘤大小(HR = 1.53[95%CI,1.32 - 1.78],P<0.001;HR = 1.62[95%CI,1.35 - 1.94],P<0.001)和远处转移(HR = 3.40[95%CI,2.45 - 4.71],P<0.001;HR = 3.77[95%CI,2.61 - 5.45],P<0.001)。

结论

我们报告了迄今为止评估脊索瘤患者预后因素的最大规模研究。多因素分析表明,年龄较大、肿瘤较大和远处转移与生存率降低相关,而手术切除与生存率提高相关。接受放射治疗的患者生存率也降低,这可能表明患者疾病处于晚期,使其成为手术的不良候选者。

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