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慢性健康状况作为美国社区居住的老年人群体中跌倒的风险因素:一种零膨胀回归建模方法。

Chronic Health Conditions as a Risk Factor for Falls among the Community-Dwelling US Older Adults: A Zero-Inflated Regression Modeling Approach.

机构信息

Department of Pharmacotherapy and Outcomes Science, School of Pharmacy, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA 23298, USA.

Division of Epidemiology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA 23219, USA.

出版信息

Biomed Res Int. 2017;2017:5146378. doi: 10.1155/2017/5146378. Epub 2017 Mar 28.

Abstract

Falls are an important health concern among older adults due to age-related changes in the body. Having a medical history of chronic health condition may pose even higher risk of falling. Only few studies have assessed a number of chronic health conditions as risk factor for falls over a large nationally representative sample of US older adults. In this study, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) 2014 participants aged 65 years and older ( = 159,336) were evaluated. It was found that 29.7% ( = 44,550) of the sample experienced at least one fall and 16.3% ( = 20,444) experienced more than one fall in the past 12 months. According to the study findings, having a medical history of stroke, CKD, arthritis, depression, and diabetes independently predict the risk of first-time falling as well as the risk of recurrent falling in older adult population while controlling for other factors. On the other hand, having a medical history of the heart attack, angina, asthma, and COPD did not predict the risk of first-time falling, but did predict the risk of recurrent falling after experiencing the first fall in this population.

摘要

跌倒对于老年人来说是一个重要的健康问题,这是由于身体随年龄增长而发生的变化。患有慢性健康疾病的病史可能会增加跌倒的风险。只有少数研究评估了多种慢性健康状况作为美国老年人群体中大量具有代表性的样本的跌倒风险因素。在这项研究中,评估了行为风险因素监测系统(BRFSS)2014 年 65 岁及以上的参与者(n = 159336)。结果发现,该样本中有 29.7%(n = 44550)的人在过去 12 个月中至少经历了一次跌倒,16.3%(n = 20444)的人经历了多次跌倒。根据研究结果,患有中风、CKD、关节炎、抑郁和糖尿病的病史可独立预测老年人首次跌倒的风险以及复发性跌倒的风险,同时控制其他因素。另一方面,患有心脏病发作、心绞痛、哮喘和 COPD 的病史不能预测首次跌倒的风险,但在该人群中经历首次跌倒后,确实预测了复发性跌倒的风险。

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