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人类疲劳与飞艇坠毁

Human fatigue and the crash of the airship .

作者信息

Bendrick Gregg A, Beckett Scott A, Klerman Elizabeth B

机构信息

Neil A. Armstrong Flight Research Center, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, PO Box 273, Mailstop 4822, Edwards Air Force Base, CA 93523-0273, USA.

Division of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 221 Longwood Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA.

出版信息

Polar Res. 2016;35(1). doi: 10.3402/polar.v35.27105. Epub 2016 Jul 29.

Abstract

The airship , commanded by General Umberto Nobile, crashed during its return flight from the North Pole in 1928. The cause of the accident was never satisfactorily explained. We present evidence that the crash may have been fatigue-related. Nobile's memoirs indicate that at the time of the crash he had been awake for at least 72 h. Sleep deprivation impairs multiple aspects of cognitive functioning necessary for exploration missions. Just prior to the crash, Nobile made three command errors, all of which are of types associated with inadequate sleep. First, he ordered a release of lift gas when he should have restarted engines (an example of incorrect data synthesis, with deterioration of divergent thinking); second, he inappropriately ordered the ship above the cloud layer (a deficiency in the assessment of relative risks); and third, he remained above the cloud layer for a prolonged period of time (examples of attention to secondary problems, and calculation problems). We argue that as a result of these three errors, which would not be expected from such an experienced commander, there was no longer enough static lift to maintain level flight when the ship went below the cloud layer. Applying Circadian Performance Simulation Software to the sleep-wake patterns described by Nobile in his memoirs, we found that the predicted performance for someone awake as long as he had been is extremely low. This supports the historical evidence that human fatigue contributed to the crash of the .

摘要

1928年,由翁贝托·诺比尔将军指挥的飞艇在从北极返程途中坠毁。事故原因从未得到令人满意的解释。我们提供的证据表明,此次坠毁可能与疲劳有关。诺比尔的回忆录显示,坠毁时他已经连续清醒至少72小时。睡眠剥夺会损害探索任务所需的多方面认知功能。就在坠毁前,诺比尔犯了三个指挥错误,所有这些错误都是与睡眠不足相关的类型。第一,他本应重启发动机时却下令释放升力气体(这是错误数据综合的例子,发散性思维能力下降);第二,他不恰当地命令飞艇飞到云层上方(对相对风险评估不足);第三,他在云层上方停留了很长时间(关注次要问题和计算问题的例子)。我们认为,由于这三个错误,而这样一位经验丰富的指挥官本不应出现这些错误,当飞艇飞到云层下方时,已没有足够的静升力来维持水平飞行。将昼夜节律性能模拟软件应用于诺比尔回忆录中描述的睡眠-清醒模式,我们发现,对于像他那样长时间清醒的人,预测的性能极低。这支持了历史证据,即人为疲劳导致了飞艇坠毁。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6771/5421565/61a49c5a9543/nihms819088f1.jpg

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