Lecavalier Benoit S, Fisher David A, Milne Glenn A, Vinther Bo M, Tarasov Lev, Huybrechts Philippe, Lacelle Denis, Main Brittany, Zheng James, Bourgeois Jocelyne, Dyke Arthur S
Department of Physics and Physical Oceanography, Memorial University, St. John's, Canada, A1B 3X7;
Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada, K1N 6N5.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 Jun 6;114(23):5952-5957. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1616287114. Epub 2017 May 16.
We present a revised and extended high Arctic air temperature reconstruction from a single proxy that spans the past ∼12,000 y (up to 2009 CE). Our reconstruction from the Agassiz ice cap (Ellesmere Island, Canada) indicates an earlier and warmer Holocene thermal maximum with early Holocene temperatures that are 4-5 °C warmer compared with a previous reconstruction, and regularly exceed contemporary values for a period of ∼3,000 y. Our results show that air temperatures in this region are now at their warmest in the past 6,800-7,800 y, and that the recent rate of temperature change is unprecedented over the entire Holocene. The warmer early Holocene inferred from the Agassiz ice core leads to an estimated ∼1 km of ice thinning in northwest Greenland during the early Holocene using the Camp Century ice core. Ice modeling results show that this large thinning is consistent with our air temperature reconstruction. The modeling results also demonstrate the broader significance of the enhanced warming, with a retreat of the northern ice margin behind its present position in the mid Holocene and a ∼25% increase in total Greenland ice sheet mass loss (∼1.4 m sea-level equivalent) during the last deglaciation, both of which have implications for interpreting geodetic measurements of land uplift and gravity changes in northern Greenland.
我们展示了一个经过修订和扩展的高北极地区气温重建结果,该重建基于单一代理指标,涵盖了过去约12000年(至公元2009年)。我们从阿加西兹冰盖(加拿大埃尔斯米尔岛)进行的重建表明,全新世热最大值出现得更早且更温暖,全新世早期的温度比之前的重建结果高4 - 5摄氏度,并且在约3000年的时间里经常超过当代值。我们的结果表明,该地区目前的气温处于过去6800 - 7800年以来的最温暖时期,而且近期的温度变化速率在整个全新世都是前所未有的。从阿加西兹冰芯推断出的全新世早期更温暖的情况,利用世纪营地冰芯估算出全新世早期格陵兰岛西北部的冰层变薄了约1千米。冰模型结果表明,这种大幅变薄与我们的气温重建结果一致。模型结果还表明了这种增强变暖的更广泛意义,即全新世中期北部冰缘退至其当前位置之后,以及在末次冰消期格陵兰岛冰盖总质量损失增加了约25%(相当于海平面上升约1.4米),这两者都对解释格陵兰岛北部陆地隆升和重力变化的大地测量结果具有重要意义。