Arosio Tito, Leuenberger Markus, Nicolussi Kurt, Esper Jan, Krusic Paul J, Bebchuk Tatiana, Tegel Willy, Hafner Albert, Kirdyanov Alexander, Schlüchter Christian, Reinig Frederick, Muschitiello Francesco, Büntgen Ulf
Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3EN, UK.
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.
Sci Adv. 2025 Apr 4;11(14):eadr4161. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adr4161.
Here, we use 7437 stable oxygen (δO) isotope ratios extracted from 192 living and relict Alpine trees to reconstruct trends and extremes in European summer hydroclimate from 8980 before the present to 2014 Common Era. Our continuous tree-ring δO record reveals a significant long-term drying trend over much of the Holocene ( < 0.001), which is in line with orbital forcing and independent evidence from proxy reconstructions and model simulations. Wetter conditions in the early-to-mid Holocene coincide with the African Humid Period, whereas the most severe summer droughts of the past 9000 years are found during the Little Ice Age in the 18th and 19th centuries Common Era. We suggest that much of Europe was not only warmer but also wetter during most of the preindustrial Holocene, which implies a close relationship between insolation changes and long-term hydroclimate trends that likely affected natural and societal systems across a wide range of spatiotemporal scales.
在此,我们利用从192棵现存和残留的阿尔卑斯树木中提取的7437个稳定氧(δO)同位素比率,重建了从距今8980年到公元2014年欧洲夏季水文气候的趋势和极端情况。我们连续的树木年轮δO记录揭示了全新世大部分时期显著的长期变干趋势(<0.001),这与轨道强迫以及来自代用重建和模型模拟的独立证据一致。全新世早期至中期较为湿润的状况与非洲湿润期相吻合,而过去9000年中最严重的夏季干旱出现在公元18和19世纪的小冰期。我们认为,在工业化前全新世的大部分时间里,欧洲大部分地区不仅更温暖,而且更湿润,这意味着日照变化与长期水文气候趋势之间存在密切关系,这种关系可能在广泛的时空尺度上影响了自然和社会系统。