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预期寿命和无残疾预期寿命方面持续存在的社会不平等:丹麦实行差异化养老金年龄的前景如何?

Persistent social inequality in life expectancy and disability-free life expectancy: Outlook for a differential pension age in Denmark?

作者信息

Brønnum-Hansen Henrik, Eriksen Mette Lindholm, Andersen-Ranberg Karen, Jeune Bernard

机构信息

1 Faculty of Health Sciences, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.

2 Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Biodemography, Institute of Public Health and Danish Ageing Research Centre, University of Southern Denmark, Denmark.

出版信息

Scand J Public Health. 2017 Jun;45(4):459-462. doi: 10.1177/1403494816683591. Epub 2016 Dec 21.

Abstract

AIMS

The state old-age pension in Denmark increases to keep pace with the projected increase in average life expectancy (LE) without any regard to the social gap in LE and expected lifetime in good health. The purpose of this study was to compare changes in LE and disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) between groups of Danes with high, medium and low levels of education.

METHODS

Nationwide register data on education and mortality were combined with data from the Surveys of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) surveys in 2006-2007, 2010-2011 and 2013-2014 and the DFLE by educational level was estimated by Sullivan's method for each of these three time points.

RESULTS

Between 2006-2007 and 2013-2014, LE among 65-year-old men and women with a low educational level increased by 1.3 and 1.0 years, respectively, and by 1.4 and 1.3 years for highly educated men and women. The gap in LE between people with high and low levels of education remained more than 2 years. In 2006-2007, 65-year-old men with a high level of education could expect 3.2 more years without disability than men of the same age with a low level of education. In 2013-2014, the difference was 2.9 years. For women, the results were 3.7 and 3.4 years, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

With the persistent social inequality in LE of more than 2 years and the continuous gap between high and low educational groups in DFLE of about 3 years, a differential pension age is recommended.

摘要

目的

丹麦的国家养老金会随着预期平均寿命(LE)的预计增长而增加,而不考虑LE和健康预期寿命方面的社会差距。本研究的目的是比较丹麦高、中、低教育水平人群在LE和无残疾预期寿命(DFLE)方面的变化。

方法

将全国范围内关于教育和死亡率的登记数据与2006 - 2007年、2010 - 2011年以及2013 - 2014年欧洲健康、老龄化和退休调查(SHARE)的数据相结合,并采用沙利文方法对这三个时间点的每个教育水平的DFLE进行估计。

结果

在2006 - 至2013 - 2014年间,低教育水平的65岁男性和女性的LE分别增加了1.3岁和1.0岁,高教育水平的男性和女性分别增加了1.4岁和1.3岁。高、低教育水平人群之间的LE差距仍超过2岁。在2006 - 2007年,高教育水平的65岁男性比同年龄低教育水平的男性无残疾预期多3.2年。在2013 - 2014年,差异为2.9年。对于女性,结果分别为3.7年和3.4年。

结论

鉴于LE方面持续存在超过2年的社会不平等以及高、低教育群体在DFLE方面持续约3年的差距,建议实行差异化的养老金领取年龄。

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