Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, Koç University, Istanbul, Turkey.
School of Medicine, Koç University, Istanbul, Turkey.
J Med Virol. 2017 Oct;89(10):1707-1713. doi: 10.1002/jmv.24864. Epub 2017 Jul 6.
We described the predictive role of cytokines in fatality of Crimean Congo Hemorrhagic Fever Virus (CCHFV) infection by using daily clinical sera samples. Consequent serum samples of the selected patients in different severity groups and healthy controls were examined by using human cytokine 17-plex assay. We included 12 (23%) mild, 30 (58%) moderate, 10 (19%) severe patients, and 10 healthy volunteers. The mean age of the patients was 52 (sd 15), 52% were female. Forty-six patients (88%) received ribavirin. During disease course, the median levels of IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-10/12, IFN-γ, MCP-1, and MIP-1b were found to be significantly higher among CCHF patients than the healthy controls. Within the first 5 days after onset of disease, among the fatal cases, the median levels of IL-6 and IL-8 were found to be significantly higher than the survived ones (Fig. 3), and MCP-1 was elevated among fatal cases, but statistical significance was not detected. In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, IL-8 (92%), IL-6 (92%), MCP-1 (79%) were found to be the most significant cytokines in predicting the fatality rates in the early period of the disease (5 days). IL-6 and IL-8 can predict the poor outcome, within the first 5 days of disease course. Elevated IL-6 and IL-8 levels within first 5 days could be used as prognostic markers.
我们通过使用日常临床血清样本描述了细胞因子在克里米亚-刚果出血热病毒(CCHFV)感染致死率中的预测作用。使用人类细胞因子 17 合子测定法检查了不同严重程度组和健康对照组中选定患者的后续血清样本。我们纳入了 12 名(23%)轻度、30 名(58%)中度、10 名(19%)重度患者和 10 名健康志愿者。患者的平均年龄为 52(标准差 15)岁,52%为女性。46 名患者(88%)接受了利巴韦林治疗。在疾病过程中,与健康对照组相比,CCHF 患者的 IL-6、IL-8、IL-10、IL-10/12、IFN-γ、MCP-1 和 MIP-1b 的中位数水平明显更高。在发病后 5 天内,在死亡病例中,发现 IL-6 和 IL-8 的中位数水平明显高于存活病例(图 3),并且在死亡病例中 MCP-1 升高,但未检测到统计学意义。在接受者操作特征(ROC)分析中,IL-8(92%)、IL-6(92%)、MCP-1(79%)被发现是疾病早期(5 天)预测死亡率的最显著细胞因子。IL-6 和 IL-8 可预测疾病病程前 5 天的不良预后。发病后 5 天内升高的 IL-6 和 IL-8 水平可用作预后标志物。