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那个自杀防护栏到底起作用了吗?重新审视布卢尔高架桥自然实验及其对多伦多自杀率的影响。

Did the suicide barrier work after all? Revisiting the Bloor Viaduct natural experiment and its impact on suicide rates in Toronto.

作者信息

Sinyor Mark, Schaffer Ayal, Redelmeier Donald A, Kiss Alex, Nishikawa Yasunori, Cheung Amy H, Levitt Anthony J, Pirkis Jane

机构信息

Department of Psychiatry, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2017 Jun 19;7(5):e015299. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-015299.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This research aims to determine the long-term impact of the Bloor Street Viaduct suicide barrier on rates of suicide in Toronto and whether media reporting had any impact on suicide rates.

DESIGN

Natural experiment.

SETTING

City of Toronto, Canada; records at the chief coroner's office of Ontario 1993-2003 (11 years before the barrier) and 2004-2014 (11 years after the barrier).

PARTICIPANTS

5403 people who died by suicide in the city of Toronto.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Changes in yearly rates of suicide by jumping at Bloor Street Viaduct, other bridges including nearest comparison bridge and walking distance bridges, and buildings, and by other means.

RESULTS

Suicide rates at the Bloor Street Viaduct declined from 9.0 deaths/year before the barrier to 0.1 deaths/year after the barrier (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.005, 95% CI 0.0005 to 0.19, p=0.002). Suicide deaths from bridges in Toronto also declined significantly (IRR 0.53, 95% CI 0.40 to 0.71, p<0.0001). Media reports about suicide at the Bloor Street Viaduct were associated with an increase in suicide-by-jumping from bridges the following year.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study demonstrates that, over the long term, suicide-by-jumping declined in Toronto after the barrier with no associated increase in suicide by other means. That is, the barrier appears to have had its intended impact at preventing suicide despite a short-term rise in deaths at other bridges that was at least partially influenced by a media effect. Research examining barriers at other locations should interpret short-term results with caution.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在确定布鲁尔街高架桥自杀防护栏对多伦多自杀率的长期影响,以及媒体报道是否对自杀率有任何影响。

设计

自然实验。

地点

加拿大多伦多市;安大略省首席验尸官办公室1993 - 2003年(防护栏安装前11年)和2004 - 2014年(防护栏安装后11年)的记录。

参与者

多伦多市5403名自杀死亡者。

主要观察指标

通过从布鲁尔街高架桥、其他桥梁(包括最近的对照桥和步行可达的桥梁)及建筑物跳下以及其他方式导致的每年自杀率变化。

结果

布鲁尔街高架桥的自杀率从防护栏安装前的每年9.0例死亡降至安装后的每年0.1例死亡(发病率比(IRR)0.005,95%可信区间0.0005至0.19,p = 0.002)。多伦多桥梁的自杀死亡人数也显著下降(IRR 0.53,95%可信区间0.40至0.71,p < 0.0001)。关于布鲁尔街高架桥自杀的媒体报道与次年桥梁跳下自杀人数增加有关。

结论

当前研究表明,从长期来看,多伦多安装防护栏后,跳下自杀的情况减少,且未出现其他方式自杀的相关增加。也就是说,尽管其他桥梁的死亡人数短期内有所上升,至少部分是受媒体效应影响,但防护栏似乎达到了预防自杀的预期效果。研究其他地点的防护栏时应谨慎解读短期结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2c3f/5734210/080b6a2d385f/bmjopen-2016-015299f01.jpg

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