Department of General Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University College of Medicine, Hangzhou 310009, China.
Department of Laboratory Medicine, Changhai Hospital, 168 Changhai Road, Shanghai 200433, China.
Biomed Res Int. 2017;2017:3809464. doi: 10.1155/2017/3809464. Epub 2017 Jun 8.
To explore the role of combined detection of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in the prognostic assessment of colorectal cancer (CRC).
We investigated preoperative NLR and CEA in 125 surgical CRC patients, determined the patients' thresholds by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and assessed their prognostic values by Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox regression models. In addition, we used nomograms of several risk factors to evaluate the risk in survival and predictive accuracy by using Harrell's concordance index (-index).
Results of multivariate analysis showed high NLR, high CEA, and high COCN (combination of CEA and NLR) were significantly correlated with decreased disease-free survival (DFS) [HR: 2.229, 95% CI: 1.012-4.911, and = 0.047; HR: 3.652, 95% CI: 1.630-8.179, and = 0.002; HR: 3.139, 95% CI: 1.800-5.472, and < 0.001]. But high CEA and COCN remained significant only for decreased overall survival (OS) [HR: 3.713, 95% CI: 1.396-9.873, and = 0.009; HR: 3.106, 95% CI: 1.576-6.123, and = 0.001]. High NLR showed higher mortality rates with worse OS ( = 0.058), and nomograms containing NLR improved the predictive accuracy. Area under the curve of COCN was higher than that of CEA or NLR.
COCN acts as a better independent prognostic biomarker of CRC than NLR or CEA alone.
探讨癌胚抗原(CEA)与中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)联合检测在结直肠癌(CRC)预后评估中的作用。
我们对 125 例手术 CRC 患者进行术前 NLR 和 CEA 检测,通过受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析确定患者的阈值,并通过 Kaplan-Meier 曲线和 Cox 回归模型评估其预后价值。此外,我们还使用几种危险因素的列线图通过 Harrell 的一致性指数(-index)评估生存风险和预测准确性。
多因素分析结果显示,高 NLR、高 CEA 和高 COCN(CEA 和 NLR 的组合)与降低无病生存率(DFS)显著相关[风险比(HR):2.229,95%可信区间(CI):1.012-4.911, = 0.047;HR:3.652,95%CI:1.630-8.179, = 0.002;HR:3.139,95%CI:1.800-5.472, < 0.001]。但高 CEA 和 COCN 仅与降低总生存率(OS)显著相关[HR:3.713,95%CI:1.396-9.873, = 0.009;HR:3.106,95%CI:1.576-6.123, = 0.001]。高 NLR 显示 OS 较差的死亡率更高( = 0.058),并且包含 NLR 的列线图提高了预测准确性。COCN 的曲线下面积高于 CEA 或 NLR。
COCN 作为一种比 NLR 或 CEA 单独更好的 CRC 独立预后生物标志物。