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1995 - 2014年津巴布韦牛临床嗜皮菌病的时空模式

Spatiotemporal patterns of clinical bovine dermatophilosis in Zimbabwe 1995-2014.

作者信息

Ndhlovu Felistas, Ndhlovu Daud N, Chikerema Sylvester M, Masocha Mhosisi, Nyagura Mudavanhu, Pfukenyi Davies M

机构信息

Department of Clinical Veterinary Studies, University of Zimbabwe.

出版信息

Onderstepoort J Vet Res. 2017 Jun 27;84(1):e1-e8. doi: 10.4102/ojvr.v84i1.1386.

Abstract

A retrospective study of clinical bovine dermatophilosis outbreaks and cases for the period 1995-2014 was conducted, using data obtained from the Division of Veterinary Services (DVS). A total of 3856 outbreaks and 26 659 cases of dermatophilosis were reported countrywide during this period. The post rainy season accounted for 37.9% of the outbreaks followed by the rainy season (26.7%), cold dry season (22.1%) and the hot dry season (13.2%). A retrospective space-time scan statistic in SaTScanTM was used to detect clusters. From this study, it was evident that dermatophilosis was spreading from the north-west of Zimbabwe through the central to the north-east during the period 2010-2014. Five clusters were identified mainly in the central and north-western regions of Zimbabwe. The primary cluster was centred at Ungwe, Gokwe district in Midlands; the second, third, fourth and fifth likely clusters were centred at Bonga (Mashonaland Central), ARDA (Mashonaland West), Nsenga (Matabeleland North) and Zanda in Gokwe, respectively. The findings of this study suggest the continued spread of dermatophilosis across the country; as such the Department of Livestock and Veterinary Services are advised to develop measures aimed at managing this spread such as dipping, quarantine, movement control and raising farmer awareness.

摘要

利用从兽医服务司(DVS)获取的数据,对1995年至2014年期间牛皮肤嗜皮菌病的临床疫情爆发和病例进行了回顾性研究。在此期间,全国共报告了3856起疫情爆发和26659例皮肤嗜皮菌病病例。雨季过后占疫情爆发的37.9%,其次是雨季(26.7%)、寒冷干燥季节(22.1%)和炎热干燥季节(13.2%)。使用SaTScanTM中的回顾性时空扫描统计来检测聚集性。从这项研究中可以明显看出,在2010年至2014年期间,皮肤嗜皮菌病正在从津巴布韦的西北部向中部再到东北部蔓延。确定了五个聚集区,主要位于津巴布韦的中部和西北部地区。主要聚集区以中部省戈奎区的翁圭为中心;第二、第三、第四和第五个可能的聚集区分别以马绍纳兰中部的邦加、马绍纳兰西部的农业发展与销售公司(ARDA)、北马塔贝莱兰的恩森加以及戈奎的赞达为中心。这项研究的结果表明皮肤嗜皮菌病在全国持续蔓延;因此,建议畜牧和兽医服务部制定旨在控制这种蔓延的措施,如药浴、检疫、流动控制以及提高农民的认识。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8eca/6238779/cd16cbfd8d7b/OJVR-84-1386-g001.jpg

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