Wang Kai, Chen Xinguang, Bird Victoria Y, Gerke Travis A, Manini Todd M, Prosperi Mattia
Department of Epidemiology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL.
Department of Urology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL.
Int J Cancer. 2017 Nov 1;141(9):1783-1793. doi: 10.1002/ijc.30882. Epub 2017 Jul 24.
The relationship between serum total testosterone and prostate cancer (PCa) risk is controversial. The hypothesis that faster age-related reduction in testosterone is linked with increased PCa risk remains untested. We conducted our study at a tertiary-level hospital in southeast of the USA, and derived data from the Medical Registry Database of individuals that were diagnosed of any prostate-related disease from 2001 to 2015. Cases were those diagnosed of PCa and had one or more measurements of testosterone prior to PCa diagnosis. Controls were those without PCa and had one or more testosterone measurements. Multivariable logistic regression models for PCa risk of absolute levels (one-time measure and 5-year average) and annual change in testosterone were respectively constructed. Among a total of 1,559 patients, 217 were PCa cases, and neither one-time measure nor 5-year average of testosterone was found to be significantly associated with PCa risk. Among the 379 patients with two or more testosterone measurements, 27 were PCa cases. For every 10 ng/dL increment in annual reduction of testosterone, the risk of PCa would increase by 14% [adjusted odds ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-1.25]. Compared to patients with a relatively stable testosterone, patients with an annual testosterone reduction of more than 30 ng/dL had 5.03 [95% CI: 1.53, 16.55] fold increase in PCa risk. This implies a faster age-related reduction in, but not absolute level of serum total testosterone as a risk factor for PCa. Further longitudinal studies are needed to confirm this finding.
血清总睾酮与前列腺癌(PCa)风险之间的关系存在争议。睾酮随年龄增长而更快下降与PCa风险增加相关这一假说仍未得到验证。我们在美国东南部的一家三级医院开展了这项研究,并从2001年至2015年被诊断患有任何前列腺相关疾病的个体医疗登记数据库中获取数据。病例为被诊断患有PCa且在PCa诊断前有一次或多次睾酮测量值的患者。对照为未患PCa且有一次或多次睾酮测量值的患者。分别构建了关于PCa风险的绝对水平(单次测量和5年平均值)以及睾酮年度变化的多变量逻辑回归模型。在总共1559名患者中,217例为PCa病例,未发现睾酮的单次测量值或5年平均值与PCa风险有显著关联。在379名有两次或更多次睾酮测量值的患者中,27例为PCa病例。睾酮年度下降每增加10 ng/dL,PCa风险将增加14%[调整后的优势比,1.14;95%置信区间(CI),1.03 - 1.25]。与睾酮相对稳定的患者相比,睾酮年度下降超过30 ng/dL的患者PCa风险增加5.03倍[95% CI:1.53,16.55]。这意味着血清总睾酮作为PCa的一个风险因素,是随年龄增长下降更快,而非绝对水平。需要进一步的纵向研究来证实这一发现。