Furlong Melissa A, Herring Amy, Buckley Jessie P, Goldman Barbara D, Daniels Julie L, Engel Lawrence S, Wolff Mary S, Chen Jia, Wetmur Jim, Barr Dana Boyd, Engel Stephanie M
Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, United States.
Department of Statistical Science and Global Health Institute, Duke University, United States.
Environ Res. 2017 Oct;158:737-747. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2017.07.023. Epub 2017 Jul 22.
Prenatal exposure to organophosphorus pesticides (OPs) has been associated with different neurodevelopmental outcomes across different cohorts. A phenotypic approach may address some of these differences by incorporating information across scales and accounting for the complex correlational structure of neurodevelopmental outcomes. Additionally, Bayesian hierarchical modeling can account for confounding by collinear co-exposures. We use this framework to examine associations between prenatal exposure to OPs and behavior, executive functioning, and IQ assessed at age 6-9 years in a cohort of 404 mother/infant pairs recruited during pregnancy. We derived phenotypes of neurodevelopment with a factor analysis, and estimated associations between OP metabolites and these phenotypes in Bayesian hierarchical models for exposure mixtures. We report seven factors: 1) Impulsivity and Externalizing, 2) Executive Functioning, 3) Internalizing, 4) Perceptual Reasoning, 5) Adaptability, 6) Processing Speed, and 7) Verbal Intelligence. These, along with the Working Memory Index, were standardized and scaled so that positive values reflected positive attributes and negative values represented adverse outcomes. Standardized dimethylphosphate metabolites were negatively associated with Internalizing factor scores (β^ - 0.13, 95% CI - 0.26, 0.00) but positively associated with Executive Functioning factor scores (β^ 0.18, 95% CI 0.04, 0.31). Standardized diethylphosphate metabolites were negatively associated with the Working Memory Index (β^ - 0.17, 95% CI - 0.33, - 0.03). Associations with factor scores were generally stronger and more precise than associations with individual instrument-specific items. Factor analysis of outcomes may provide some advantages in etiological studies of childhood neurodevelopment by incorporating information across scales to reduce dimensionality and improve precision.
孕期接触有机磷农药(OPs)与不同队列中的多种神经发育结局相关。一种表型方法可以通过整合不同层面的信息并考虑神经发育结局的复杂相关结构来解决其中的一些差异。此外,贝叶斯分层模型可以解释共线性共暴露造成的混杂因素。我们使用这个框架来研究在孕期招募的404对母婴队列中,孕期接触OPs与6至9岁时评估的行为、执行功能和智商之间的关联。我们通过因子分析得出神经发育的表型,并在贝叶斯分层模型中估计OP代谢物与这些表型之间的关联,用于暴露混合物研究。我们报告了七个因子:1)冲动性与外化性,2)执行功能,3)内化性,4)知觉推理,5)适应性,6)处理速度,7)言语智力。这些因子以及工作记忆指数都经过标准化和缩放,以便正值反映积极属性,负值代表不良结局。标准化的二甲基磷酸酯代谢物与内化因子得分呈负相关(β^ - 0.13,95%可信区间 - 0.26,0.00),但与执行功能因子得分呈正相关(β^ 0.18,95%可信区间0.04,0.31)。标准化的二乙基磷酸酯代谢物与工作记忆指数呈负相关(β^ - 0.17,95%可信区间 - 0.33, - 0.03)。与因子得分的关联通常比与个别仪器特定项目的关联更强且更精确。通过整合不同层面的信息以降低维度并提高精度,结局的因子分析可能在儿童神经发育的病因学研究中具有一些优势。