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德克萨斯州环境臭氧与哮喘住院情况:一项时间序列分析

Ambient ozone and asthma hospital admissions in Texas: a time-series analysis.

作者信息

Goodman Julie E, Zu Ke, Loftus Christine T, Tao Ge, Liu Xiaobin, Lange Sabine

机构信息

Gradient, 20 University Road, Cambridge, MA 02138 UK.

Gradient, 600 Stewart Street, Suite, Seattle, WA 1900 USA.

出版信息

Asthma Res Pract. 2017 Aug 1;3:6. doi: 10.1186/s40733-017-0034-1. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Many studies have evaluated associations between asthma emergency department (ED) visits, hospital admissions (HAs), and ambient ozone (O) across the US, but not in Texas. We investigated the relationship between O and asthma HAs, and the potential impacts of outdoor pollen, respiratory infection HAs, and the start of the school year in Texas.

METHODS

We obtained daily time-series data on asthma HAs and ambient O concentrations for Dallas, Houston, and Austin, Texas for the years 2003-2011. Relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of asthma HAs per 10-ppb increase in 8-h maximum O concentrations were estimated from Poisson generalized additive models and adjusted for temporal trends, meteorological factors, pollen, respiratory infection HAs, day of the week, and public holidays. We conducted a number of sensitivity analyses to assess model specification.

RESULTS

We observed weak associations between total asthma HAs and O at lags of 1 day (RR = 1.012, 95% CI: 1.004-1.021), 2 days (RR = 1.011, 95% CI: 1.002-1.019), and 0-3 days (RR = 1.017, 95% CI: 1.005-1.030). The associations were primarily observed in children aged 5-14 years (e.g., for O at lag 0-3 days, RR = 1.037, 95% CI: 1.011-1.064), and null in individuals 15 years or older. The effect estimates did not change significantly with adjustment for pollen and respiratory infections, but they attenuated considerably and lost statistical significance when August and September data were excluded. A significant interaction between time around the start of the school year and O at lag 2 day was observed, with the associations with pediatric asthma HAs stronger in August and September (RR = 1.040, 95% CI: 1.012-1.069) than in the rest of the year (October-July) (RR = 1.006, 95% CI: 0.986-1.026).

CONCLUSIONS

We observed small but statistically significant positive associations between total and pediatric asthma HAs and short-term O exposure in Texas, especially in August and September. Further research is needed to determine how the start of school could modify the observed association between O and pediatric asthma HAs.

摘要

背景

许多研究评估了美国各地哮喘急诊就诊、住院与环境臭氧(O)之间的关联,但未涉及得克萨斯州。我们调查了得克萨斯州臭氧与哮喘住院之间的关系,以及户外花粉、呼吸道感染住院和学年开始的潜在影响。

方法

我们获取了2003 - 2011年得克萨斯州达拉斯、休斯顿和奥斯汀哮喘住院及环境臭氧浓度的每日时间序列数据。通过泊松广义相加模型估计8小时最大臭氧浓度每增加10 ppb时哮喘住院的相对风险(RRs)和95%置信区间(CIs),并对时间趋势、气象因素、花粉、呼吸道感染住院、星期几和公共假日进行了调整。我们进行了多项敏感性分析以评估模型规格。

结果

我们观察到总哮喘住院与滞后1天(RR = 1.012,95% CI:1.004 - 1.021)、2天(RR = 1.011,95% CI:1.002 - 1.019)和0 - 3天(RR = 1.017,95% CI:1.005 - 1.030)的臭氧之间存在微弱关联。这些关联主要在5 - 14岁儿童中观察到(例如,对于滞后0 - 3天的臭氧,RR = 1.037,95% CI:1.011 - 1.064),而在15岁及以上个体中无关联。在对花粉和呼吸道感染进行调整后,效应估计值没有显著变化,但在排除8月和9月的数据后,它们大幅减弱并失去统计学意义。观察到学年开始前后的时间与滞后2天的臭氧之间存在显著交互作用,8月和9月与儿童哮喘住院的关联(RR = 1.040,95% CI:1.012 - 1.069)比一年中的其他时间(10月至7月)(RR = 1.006,95% CI:0.986 - 1.026)更强。

结论

我们观察到得克萨斯州总哮喘住院和儿童哮喘住院与短期臭氧暴露之间存在虽小但具有统计学意义的正相关,尤其是在8月和9月。需要进一步研究以确定学年开始如何改变所观察到的臭氧与儿童哮喘住院之间的关联。

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