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中国本土水杉胸径与树高模型的开发与评估

Development and evaluation of height diameter at breast models for native Chinese Metasequoia.

作者信息

Liu Mu, Feng Zhongke, Zhang Zhixiang, Ma Chenghui, Wang Mingming, Lian Bo-Ling, Sun Renjie, Zhang Li

机构信息

Precision Forestry Key Laboratory of Beijing, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing,China.

The Key Laboratory for Silviculture and Conservation of Ministry of Education, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing,China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2017 Aug 17;12(8):e0182170. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0182170. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

Accurate tree height and diameter at breast height (dbh) are important input variables for growth and yield models. A total of 5503 Chinese Metasequoia trees were used in this study. We studied 53 fitted models, of which 7 were linear models and 46 were non-linear models. These models were divided into two groups of single models and multivariate models according to the number of independent variables. The results show that the allometry equation of tree height which has diameter at breast height as independent variable can better reflect the change of tree height; in addition the prediction accuracy of the multivariate composite models is higher than that of the single variable models. Although tree age is not the most important variable in the study of the relationship between tree height and dbh, the consideration of tree age when choosing models and parameters in model selection can make the prediction of tree height more accurate. The amount of data is also an important parameter what can improve the reliability of models. Other variables such as tree height, main dbh and altitude, etc can also affect models. In this study, the method of developing the recommended models for predicting the tree height of native Metasequoias aged 50-485 years is statistically reliable and can be used for reference in predicting the growth and production of mature native Metasequoia.

摘要

准确的树高和胸径是生长和产量模型的重要输入变量。本研究共使用了5503株中国水杉树。我们研究了53个拟合模型,其中7个是线性模型,46个是非线性模型。这些模型根据自变量的数量分为单变量模型和多变量模型两组。结果表明,以胸径为自变量的树高异速生长方程能更好地反映树高变化;此外,多变量复合模型的预测精度高于单变量模型。虽然树龄不是树高与胸径关系研究中最重要的变量,但在模型选择中选择模型和参数时考虑树龄可以使树高预测更准确。数据量也是提高模型可靠性的重要参数。树高、主胸径和海拔等其他变量也会影响模型。本研究中,开发预测50 - 485年生原生水杉树高推荐模型的方法在统计上是可靠的,可用于预测成熟原生水杉的生长和产量参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/618e/5560716/0e32c69f94ae/pone.0182170.g001.jpg

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