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通过身体质量指数评估英格兰社区社会护理需求的变化及相关成本:基于人群的横断面研究。

Estimating the variation in need for community-based social care by body mass index in England and associated cost: population-based cross-sectional study.

作者信息

Copley Vicky R, Cavill Nick, Wolstenholme Jane, Fordham Richard, Rutter Harry

机构信息

Risk Factors Intelligence, Public Health England, 4150 Chancellor Court, Oxford Business Park South, Oxford, OX4 2GX, UK.

Cavill Associates, Bramhall, Stockport, Cheshire, SK7 1DQ, UK.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2017 Aug 22;17(1):667. doi: 10.1186/s12889-017-4665-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Adult obesity is linked to a greater need for social care because of its association with the development of long term conditions and because obese adults can have physical and social difficulties which inhibit daily living. Obesity thus has considerable social care cost implications but the magnitude of these costs is currently unknown. This paper outlines an approach to estimating obesity-related social care costs in adults aged over 65 in England.

METHODS

We used univariable and multivariable logistic regression models to investigate the relation between the self-reported need for social care and potential determinants, including body mass index (BMI), using data from Health Survey for England. We combined these modelled estimates of need for social care with the mean hours of help received, conditional on receiving any help, to calculate the expected hours of social care received per adult by BMI.

RESULTS

BMI is positively associated with self-reported need for social care. A one unit (ie 1 kg/m) increase in BMI is on average associated with a 5% increase in the odds of need for help with social care (odds ratio 1.05, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.07) in an unadjusted model. Adjusting for long term illness and sociodemographic characteristics we estimate the annual cost of local authority funded care for those who receive it is £599 at a BMI of 23 but £1086 at a BMI of 40.

CONCLUSION

BMI is positively associated with self-reported need for social care after adjustment for sociodemographic factors and limiting long term illness. The increase in need for care with BMI gives rise to additional costs in social care provision which should be borne in mind when calculating the cost-effectiveness of interventions aimed at reducing obesity.

摘要

背景

成人肥胖与更高的社会护理需求相关,这是因为它与长期疾病的发展有关,且肥胖的成年人可能存在身体和社交方面的困难,从而影响日常生活。因此,肥胖对社会护理成本有重大影响,但目前这些成本的规模尚不清楚。本文概述了一种估算英格兰65岁以上成年人肥胖相关社会护理成本的方法。

方法

我们使用单变量和多变量逻辑回归模型,利用英格兰健康调查的数据,研究自我报告的社会护理需求与潜在决定因素之间的关系,包括体重指数(BMI)。我们将这些模拟得出的社会护理需求估计值与接受任何帮助的情况下获得的平均帮助时长相结合,以计算按BMI划分的每位成年人预期接受的社会护理时长。

结果

BMI与自我报告的社会护理需求呈正相关。在未调整的模型中,BMI每增加一个单位(即1kg/m²),平均而言,社会护理需要帮助的几率增加5%(优势比为1.05,95%置信区间为1.04至1.07)。在对长期疾病和社会人口统计学特征进行调整后,我们估计,BMI为23时,接受地方当局资助护理的人群的年度护理成本为599英镑;而BMI为40时,这一成本为1086英镑。

结论

在对社会人口统计学因素进行调整并限制长期疾病后,BMI与自我报告的社会护理需求呈正相关。随着BMI的增加,护理需求的增加会导致社会护理提供方面的额外成本,在计算旨在减少肥胖的干预措施的成本效益时应予以考虑。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7853/5567467/856cd135a643/12889_2017_4665_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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