Department of Surgery, Hospital del Mar, Barcelona, 08003, Spain.
Sci Rep. 2017 Aug 23;7(1):9221. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-09833-7.
Long-term all-cause mortality and dependency after complex surgical procedures have not been assessed in the framework of value-based medicine. The aim of this study was to investigate the postoperative and long-term outcomes after surgical procedures lasting for more than six hours. Retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing a first elective complex surgical procedure between 2004 and 2013. Heart and transplant surgery was excluded. Mortality and dependency from the healthcare system were selected as outcome variables. Gender, age, ASA, creatinine, albumin kinetics, complications, benign vs malignant underlying condition, number of drugs at discharge, and admission and length of stay in the ICU were recorded as predictive variables. Some 620 adult patients were included in the study. Postoperative, <1year and <5years cumulative mortality was 6.8%, 17.6% and 45%, respectively. Of patients discharged from hospital after surgery, 76% remained dependent on the healthcare system. In multivariate analysis for postoperative, <1year and <5years mortality, postoperative albumin concentration, ASA score and an ICU stay >7days, were the most significant independent predictive variables. Prolonged surgery carries a significant short and long-term mortality and disability. These data may contribute to more informed decisions taken concerning major surgery in the framework of value-based medicine.
在基于价值的医学框架内,尚未评估复杂手术的长期全因死亡率和依赖程度。本研究旨在调查手术时间超过 6 小时后的术后和长期结果。这是一项回顾性队列研究,纳入了 2004 年至 2013 年间接受首次择期复杂手术的患者。排除了心脏和移植手术。将死亡率和对医疗保健系统的依赖作为结局变量。记录了性别、年龄、ASA、肌酐、白蛋白动力学、并发症、良性与恶性基础疾病、出院时的药物数量以及 ICU 的入院和住院时间等预测变量。研究共纳入 620 例成年患者。术后、<1 年和<5 年的累积死亡率分别为 6.8%、17.6%和 45%。手术后出院的患者中,有 76%仍依赖医疗保健系统。术后、<1 年和<5 年死亡率的多变量分析显示,术后白蛋白浓度、ASA 评分和 ICU 入住时间>7 天是最重要的独立预测变量。长时间手术会导致显著的短期和长期死亡率和残疾。这些数据可能有助于在基于价值的医学框架内做出有关重大手术的更明智决策。