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基于信息熵的谣言传播模型。

A rumor spreading model based on information entropy.

机构信息

Department of Mechanical Engineering, Anhui University of Technology, Anhui Ma'anshan, 243002, China.

Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520, United States.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2017 Aug 29;7(1):9615. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-09171-8.

Abstract

Rumor spreading can have a significant impact on people's lives, distorting scientific facts and influencing political opinions. With technologies that have democratized the production and reproduction of information, the rate at which misinformation can spread has increased significantly, leading many to describe contemporary times as a 'post-truth era'. Research into rumor spreading has primarily been based on either model of social and biological contagion, or upon models of opinion dynamics. Here we present a comprehensive model that is based on information entropy, which allows for the incorporation of considerations like the role of memory, conformity effects, differences in the subjective propensity to produce distortions, and variations in the degree of trust that people place in each other. Variations in the degree of trust are controlled by a confidence factor β, while the propensity to produce distortions is controlled by a conservation factor K. Simulations were performed using a Barabási-Albert (BA) scale-free network seeded with a single piece of information. The influence of β and K upon the temporal evolution of the system was subsequently analyzed regarding average information entropy, opinion fragmentation, and the range of rumor spread. These results can aid in decision-making to limit the spread of rumors.

摘要

谣言传播会对人们的生活产生重大影响,扭曲科学事实并影响政治观点。随着技术使信息的生产和复制民主化,错误信息传播的速度大大加快,许多人将当代描述为“后真相时代”。谣言传播的研究主要基于社会和生物传染模型,或意见动态模型。在这里,我们提出了一个基于信息熵的综合模型,该模型允许考虑记忆的作用、从众效应、产生扭曲的主观倾向差异以及人们相互信任程度的差异。信任程度的变化由置信因子 β 控制,而产生扭曲的倾向则由保护因子 K 控制。使用具有单个信息种子的 Barabási-Albert (BA) 无标度网络进行了模拟。随后,针对平均信息熵、意见分歧和谣言传播范围,分析了β和 K 对系统时间演化的影响。这些结果可以帮助做出决策以限制谣言的传播。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bae2/5575068/159a909d8ab0/41598_2017_9171_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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