Muessig Johanna Maria, Masyuk Maryna, Nia Amir Movahed, Franz Marcus, Kabisch Bjoern, Kelm Malte, Jung Christian
Division of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Vascular Medicine, Medical Faculty, University Hospital Düsseldorf, Heinrich-Heine-University, Düsseldorf Department of Cardiology, Clinic of Internal Medicine I, Medical Faculty, Jena University Hospital, Friedrich-Schiller-University, Jena, Germany.
Medicine (Baltimore). 2017 Sep;96(37):e7776. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000007776.
The aging population increases the demand of intensive care unit (ICU) treatments. However, the availability of ICU beds is limited. Thus, ICU admission of octogenarians is considered controversial. The population above 80 years is a very heterogeneous group though, and age alone might not be the best predictor. Aim of this study was to analyze resource consumption and outcome of octogenarians admitted to a medical ICU to identify reliable survival predictors in a senescent society.This retrospective observational study analyzes 930 octogenarians and 5732 younger patients admitted to a medical ICU. Admission diagnosis, APACHE II and SAPS II scores, use of ICU resources, and mortality were recorded. Long-term mortality was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariate cox regression analysis.Patients ≥80 years old had higher SAPS II (43 vs 38, P < .001) and APACHE II (23 vs 21, P = .001) scores. Consumption of ICU resources by octogenarians was lower in terms of length of stay, mechanical ventilation, and renal replacement therapy. Among octogenarians, ICU survivors got less mechanical ventilation or renal replacement therapy than nonsurvivors. Intra-ICU mortality in the very old was higher (19% vs 12%, P < .001) and long-term survival was lower (HR 1.76, P < .001). Multivariate cox regression analysis of octogenarians revealed that admission diagnosis of myocardial infarction (HR 1.713, P = .023), age (1.08, P = .002), and SAPS II score (HR 1.02, 95%, P = .01) were independent risk factors, whereas admission diagnoses monitoring post coronary intervention (HR .253, P = .002) and cardiac arrhythmia (HR .534, P = .032) had a substantially reduced mortality risk.Octogenarians show a higher intra-ICU and long-term mortality than younger patients. Still, they show a considerable life expectancy after ICU admission even though they get less invasive care than younger patients. Furthermore, some admission diagnoses like myocardial infarction, cardiac arrhythmia and monitoring post cardiac intervention are much stronger predictors for long-term survival than age or SAPS II score in the very old.
老龄化人口增加了重症监护病房(ICU)治疗的需求。然而,ICU床位的可用性有限。因此,八十多岁老人入住ICU存在争议。不过,80岁以上的人群是一个非常 heterogeneous 的群体,仅年龄可能不是最佳预测指标。本研究的目的是分析入住内科ICU的八十多岁老人的资源消耗和结局,以在老龄化社会中确定可靠的生存预测指标。
这项回顾性观察性研究分析了930名八十多岁老人和5732名入住内科ICU的年轻患者。记录了入院诊断、急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统II(APACHE II)和简化急性生理学评分系统II(SAPS II)评分、ICU资源使用情况和死亡率。使用Kaplan-Meier生存曲线和多变量cox回归分析对长期死亡率进行了分析。
80岁及以上的患者SAPS II评分(43对38,P<0.001)和APACHE II评分(23对21,P=0.001)更高。八十多岁老人在住院时间、机械通气和肾脏替代治疗方面对ICU资源的消耗较低。在八十多岁老人中,ICU幸存者接受的机械通气或肾脏替代治疗比非幸存者少。高龄患者的ICU内死亡率更高(19%对12%,P<0.001),长期生存率更低(风险比1.76,P<0.001)。对八十多岁老人的多变量cox回归分析显示,心肌梗死入院诊断(风险比1.713,P=0.023)、年龄(1.08,P=0.002)和SAPS II评分(风险比1.02,95%,P=0.01)是独立危险因素,而冠状动脉介入术后监测(风险比0.253,P=0.002)和心律失常(风险比0.534,P=0.032)的入院诊断有显著降低的死亡风险。
八十多岁老人的ICU内和长期死亡率高于年轻患者。尽管如此,他们在入住ICU后仍有相当长的预期寿命,尽管他们接受的侵入性治疗比年轻患者少。此外,对于高龄患者,一些入院诊断如心肌梗死、心律失常和心脏介入术后监测比年龄或SAPS II评分更能预测长期生存。