Jian Yun, Wu Connor Y H, Gohlke Julia M
Informatics Institute, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL 35294, USA.
Department of Population Health Sciences, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2017 Sep 28;14(10):1143. doi: 10.3390/ijerph14101143.
: Previous studies have shown that heatwaves are associated with increased mortality. However, it remains unclear whether the associations between heatwaves and mortality are modified by the environmental quality. : We used the United States (US) Environmental Protection Agency's Environmental Quality Index (EQI) and its five domain indices (air, water, land, built, and sociodemographic) to represent the cumulative environmental quality. We applied a time-stratified case-crossover design to analyze the disparities in the association between heatwaves and non-accidental deaths (NAD) among counties with different environmental qualities, in metropolitan areas in Alabama (AL), United States. : We found significant associations between heatwaves and NAD and a significant effect modification of this relationship by EQI. There were higher odds ratios in counties with the worst cumulative environmental qualities compared to counties with the best cumulative environmental qualities. For example, the percent change in odds ratio (mean and (95% CI)) between heatwave days and non-heatwave days was -10.3% (-26.6, 9.6) in counties with an overall EQI of 1 (the best overall environment) and 13.2% (4.9, 22.2) in counties with an overall EQI of 3 (the worst overall environment). Among the five domains, air quality had the strongest effect modification on the association. : Our findings provide evidence that the associations between heatwaves and NAD vary among areas with different environmental qualities. These findings suggest that integration of air quality and heatwave warning systems may provide greater protection to public health.
先前的研究表明,热浪与死亡率上升有关。然而,热浪与死亡率之间的关联是否会受到环境质量的影响仍不清楚。
我们使用了美国环境保护局的环境质量指数(EQI)及其五个领域指数(空气、水、土地、建筑和社会人口)来代表累积环境质量。我们采用了时间分层病例交叉设计,以分析美国阿拉巴马州(AL)大都市地区不同环境质量的县中,热浪与非意外死亡(NAD)之间关联的差异。
我们发现热浪与NAD之间存在显著关联,并且EQI对这种关系有显著的效应修正。与累积环境质量最佳的县相比,累积环境质量最差的县的比值比更高。例如,在总体EQI为1(最佳总体环境)的县中,热浪日与非热浪日之间比值比的百分比变化(均值和(95%置信区间))为-10.3%(-26.6,9.6),而在总体EQI为3(最差总体环境)的县中为13.2%(4.9,22.2)。在这五个领域中,空气质量对这种关联的效应修正最强。
我们的研究结果提供了证据,表明热浪与NAD之间的关联在不同环境质量的地区有所不同。这些发现表明,整合空气质量和热浪预警系统可能会为公众健康提供更大的保护。