Joe Lauren, Hoshiko Sumi, Dobraca Dina, Jackson Rebecca, Smorodinsky Svetlana, Smith Daniel, Harnly Martha
Environmental Health Investigations Branch, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA 94804, USA.
Occupational Health Branch, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA 94804, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2016 Mar 9;13(3):299. doi: 10.3390/ijerph13030299.
Mortality increases during periods of elevated heat. Identification of vulnerable subgroups by demographics, causes of death, and geographic regions, including deaths occurring at home, is needed to inform public health prevention efforts. We calculated mortality relative risks (RRs) and excess deaths associated with a large-scale California heat wave in 2006, comparing deaths during the heat wave with reference days. For total (all-place) and at-home mortality, we examined risks by demographic factors, internal and external causes of death, and building climate zones. During the heat wave, 582 excess deaths occurred, a 5% increase over expected (RR = 1.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.08). Sixty-six percent of excess deaths were at home (RR = 1.12, CI 1.07-1.16). Total mortality risk was higher among those aged 35-44 years than ≥ 65, and among Hispanics than whites. Deaths from external causes increased more sharply (RR = 1.18, CI 1.10-1.27) than from internal causes (RR = 1.04, CI 1.02-1.07). Geographically, risk varied by building climate zone; the highest risks of at-home death occurred in the northernmost coastal zone (RR = 1.58, CI 1.01-2.48) and the southernmost zone of California's Central Valley (RR = 1.43, CI 1.21-1.68). Heat wave mortality risk varied across subpopulations, and some patterns of vulnerability differed from those previously identified. Public health efforts should also address at-home mortality, non-elderly adults, external causes, and at-risk geographic regions.
在高温时期死亡率会上升。需要通过人口统计学、死因和地理区域(包括在家中发生的死亡)来识别脆弱亚组,以为公共卫生预防工作提供信息。我们计算了2006年加利福尼亚州一次大规模热浪期间的死亡率相对风险(RRs)和超额死亡数,将热浪期间的死亡情况与参照日进行比较。对于总(所有地点)死亡率和在家死亡率,我们按人口统计学因素、内部和外部死因以及建筑气候区来研究风险。在热浪期间,发生了582例超额死亡,比预期增加了5%(RR = 1.05,95%置信区间(CI)1.03 - 1.08)。66%的超额死亡发生在家中(RR = 1.12,CI 1.07 - 1.16)。35 - 44岁人群的总死亡风险高于65岁及以上人群,西班牙裔的死亡风险高于白人。外部原因导致的死亡增长幅度(RR = 1.18,CI 1.10 - 1.27)比内部原因导致的死亡(RR = 1.04,CI 1.02 - 1.07)更大。在地理上,风险因建筑气候区而异;家中死亡风险最高的地区是最北部沿海地区(RR = 1.58,CI 1.01 - 2.48)和加利福尼亚中央谷地最南端地区(RR = 1.43,CI 1.21 - 1.68)。热浪导致的死亡风险在不同亚人群中有所不同,一些脆弱模式与之前确定的不同。公共卫生工作还应关注在家死亡率、非老年人、外部原因以及高危地理区域。