Bagarello F, Haven E, Khrennikov A
DEIM, Facoltà di Ingegneria, Università di Palermo, 90128 Palermo, Italy
INFN, Sezione di Napoli, Naples, Italy.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2017 Nov 13;375(2106). doi: 10.1098/rsta.2017.0162.
We present the mathematical model of decision-making (DM) of agents acting in a complex and uncertain environment (combining huge variety of economical, financial, behavioural and geopolitical factors). To describe interaction of agents with it, we apply the formalism of quantum field theory (QTF). Quantum fields are a purely informational nature. The QFT model can be treated as a far relative of the expected utility theory, where the role of utility is played by adaptivity to an environment (bath). However, this sort of utility-adaptivity cannot be represented simply as a numerical function. The operator representation in Hilbert space is used and adaptivity is described as in quantum dynamics. We are especially interested in stabilization of solutions for sufficiently large time. The outputs of this stabilization process, probabilities for possible choices, are treated in the framework of classical DM. To connect classical and quantum DM, we appeal to Quantum Bayesianism. We demonstrate the quantum-like interference effect in DM, which is exhibited as a violation of the formula of total probability, and hence the classical Bayesian inference scheme.This article is part of the themed issue 'Second quantum revolution: foundational questions'.
我们提出了在复杂且不确定的环境(结合了各种各样的经济、金融、行为和地缘政治因素)中行动的主体的决策数学模型。为了描述主体与该环境的相互作用,我们应用了量子场论(QTF)的形式体系。量子场具有纯粹的信息性质。量子场论模型可被视为预期效用理论的远亲,其中效用的角色由对环境(热库)的适应性来扮演。然而,这种效用适应性不能简单地表示为一个数值函数。我们使用希尔伯特空间中的算符表示,并像在量子动力学中那样描述适应性。我们特别关注足够长的时间内解的稳定性。这个稳定过程的输出,即可能选择的概率,是在经典决策框架内处理的。为了将经典决策和量子决策联系起来,我们诉诸量子贝叶斯主义。我们展示了决策中类似量子的干涉效应,它表现为对全概率公式的违反,从而也违反了经典贝叶斯推理方案。本文是主题为“第二次量子革命:基础问题”的特刊的一部分。