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确定死因:印度尼西亚使用口头尸检进行死亡率监测。

Determining the Cause of Death: Mortality Surveillance Using Verbal Autopsy in Indonesia.

作者信息

Wahab Abdul, Choiriyyah Ifta, Wilopo Siswanto Agus

机构信息

INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana.

Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Population Health, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Indonesia.

出版信息

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2017 Nov;97(5):1461-1468. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0815. Epub 2017 Oct 10.

Abstract

In the absence of a vital registration and health information systems, Indonesia does not have complete, accurate, and continuous data to summarize the mortality statistics of the population, nor determine the exact cause of death. Verbal autopsies performed in a community-based mortality surveillance have been used to provide information on the cause of deaths in such context. However, physician review of verbal autopsy can be expensive, time-consuming, and give inconsistent results, raising concern about its reliability. We used the Purworejo Health and Demographic Surveillance System's (HDSS) mortality data collected between 2000 and 2002 and assigned causes of death for all age groups using Interpreting Verbal Autopsy-4, analytic software that applies a probabilistic model. A total of 1,999 deaths were identified among 55,581 individuals surveyed in 14,409 households; 830 deaths were able to be recorded using the standardized World Health Organization (WHO) verbal autopsy questionnaire. We calculated the proportion of different causes of death and its incidence rate (IR) ratios with 95% confidence interval (CI) to compare the IR per person-years-observation (PYO). The IR of stroke was 126.7 per 100,000 PYO (95% CI: 109.7, 143.7); acute respiratory infection including pneumonia was 70.8 per 100,000 PYO (95% CI: 58.1, 83.5); and the IR of other and unspecified cardiac diseases was 57.7 per 100,000 PYO (95% CI: 46.2, 69.2). Stroke was indicated as the leading cause of death among elderly people aged 50 years and above. Meanwhile, pneumonia as a communicable disease was found to be the most common cause of death among both 0-14-year-old children and elderly people.

摘要

由于缺乏生命登记和健康信息系统,印度尼西亚没有完整、准确且连续的数据来汇总人口死亡率统计数据,也无法确定确切死因。在基于社区的死亡率监测中进行的死因推断调查已被用于在此类情况下提供死亡原因信息。然而,医生对死因推断调查的审查可能成本高昂、耗时且结果不一致,这引发了对其可靠性的担忧。我们使用了Purworejo健康与人口监测系统(HDSS)在2000年至2002年期间收集的死亡率数据,并使用应用概率模型的分析软件Interpreting Verbal Autopsy-4为所有年龄组确定死因。在对14409户家庭的55581名个体进行的调查中,共确定了1999例死亡;830例死亡能够使用标准化的世界卫生组织(WHO)死因推断调查问卷进行记录。我们计算了不同死因的比例及其发病率(IR)比值,并给出95%置信区间(CI),以比较每人年观察期(PYO)的发病率。中风的发病率为每100000人年观察期126.7例(95%CI:109.7,143.7);包括肺炎在内的急性呼吸道感染为每100000人年观察期70.8例(95%CI:58.1,83.5);其他及未明确的心脏病的发病率为每100000人年观察期57.7例(95%CI:46.2,69.2)。中风被表明是50岁及以上老年人的主要死因。同时,作为一种传染病,肺炎是0至14岁儿童和老年人中最常见的死因。

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