Lim Jae-Sung, Kwon Hyung-Min, Kim Seong-Eun, Lee Juneyoung, Lee Young-Seok, Yoon Byung-Woo
Department of Neurology, Hallym University Sacred Heart Hospital, Hallym University College of Medicine, Anyang, Korea.
Department of Neurology, Seoul Metropolitan Government-Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
J Stroke. 2017 Sep;19(3):295-303. doi: 10.5853/jos.2017.00045. Epub 2017 Sep 29.
Many studies have evaluated the association between weather and stroke, with variable conclusions. Herein we determined the relationships between daily meteorological parameters and acute stroke incidence in South Korea.
Patients with acute stroke (2,894) were identified by standard sampling of a nationwide insurance claims database from January to December 2011. We used multiple Poisson regression analyses of stroke incidence and meteorological parameters (mean temperature, diurnal temperature change, temperature differences over the preceding 24 hours, atmospheric pressure, humidity, wind speed, and physiologically equivalent temperature) to calculate the relative risk of stroke incidence associated with meteorological parameters.
There were no seasonal variations in the incidences of ischemic (2,176) or hemorrhagic (718) stroke. Temperature change during the day was positively correlated with ischemic stroke in men (relative risk [RR] 1.027; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.006-1.05) and older patients (≥65 years) (RR 1.031, 95% CI 1.011-1.052). Temperature differences over the preceding 24 hours had a negative correlation with all strokes (RR 0.968, 95% CI 0.941-0.996), especially among older women. Diurnal variation of atmospheric pressure was also significantly associated with the incidence of ischemic stroke (age<65 years, RR 1.051, 95% CI 1.011-1.092; age≥65 years, RR 0.966, 95% CI 0.936-0.997).
Diurnal temperature change, temperature differences over the preceding 24 hours, and diurnal variation of atmospheric pressure were associated with daily stroke incidence. These findings may enhance our understanding of the relationship between stroke and weather.
许多研究评估了天气与中风之间的关联,结论各异。在此,我们确定了韩国每日气象参数与急性中风发病率之间的关系。
通过对2011年1月至12月全国保险理赔数据库进行标准抽样,确定了2894例急性中风患者。我们对中风发病率和气象参数(平均温度、昼夜温度变化、前24小时的温度差、气压、湿度、风速和生理等效温度)进行了多项泊松回归分析,以计算与气象参数相关的中风发病率的相对风险。
缺血性中风(2176例)或出血性中风(718例)的发病率无季节性变化。白天的温度变化与男性缺血性中风呈正相关(相对风险[RR]1.027;95%置信区间[CI]1.006 - 1.05)以及老年患者(≥65岁)(RR 1.031,95% CI 1.011 - 1.052)。前24小时的温度差与所有中风呈负相关(RR 0.968,95% CI 0.941 - 0.996),尤其是老年女性。气压的昼夜变化也与缺血性中风的发病率显著相关(年龄<65岁,RR 1.051,95% CI 1.011 - 1.092;年龄≥65岁,RR 0.966,95% CI 0.936 - 0.997)。
昼夜温度变化、前24小时的温度差以及气压的昼夜变化与每日中风发病率相关。这些发现可能会增进我们对中风与天气之间关系的理解。