School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR), University of Sheffield, Regent Court, Regent Street, Sheffield, UK.
Pharmacoeconomics. 2017 Dec;35(Suppl 1):89-94. doi: 10.1007/s40273-017-0551-z.
A comorbidity is defined as the presence of at least one additional health condition co-occurring with a primary health condition. Decision analytic models in healthcare depict the typical clinical pathway of patients in general clinical practice and frequently include health states defined to represent comorbidities such as sequelae or adverse events. Health state utility values (HSUVs) are often not available for these and analysts generally estimate them. This article provides a summary of the methodological literature on estimating methods frequently used together with worked examples. The three main methods used (minimum, multiplicative and additive) can produce a wide range in the values estimated. In general, the minimum method overestimates observed HSUVs and the magnitude of error tends to increase as the observed values decrease. Conversely, the additive and multiplicative methods generally underestimate observed values and the magnitude of the errors is generally greater for the additive method. HSUVs estimated using the multiplicative method tend to decrease for lower HSUVs and the largest errors are in observed HSUVs >0.6. Differences in estimated values can produce substantial differences in the resulting incremental cost effectiveness ratio. Based on the current evidence, the multiplicative method is advocated but additional research is required to determine appropriate methods when estimating values for additional comorbidities.
合并症是指至少同时存在一种其他健康状况,与主要健康状况并存。医疗保健中的决策分析模型描绘了一般临床实践中患者的典型临床路径,并且经常包括定义为代表合并症的健康状态,例如后遗症或不良事件。通常无法获得这些健康状态效用值(HSUV),并且分析人员通常会对其进行估算。本文总结了有关估算方法的方法文献,这些方法经常一起使用,并提供了示例。使用的三种主要方法(最小、乘法和加法)可以产生估计值的广泛范围。一般来说,最小方法高估了观察到的 HSUV,并且随着观察值的降低,误差的幅度趋于增加。相反,加法和乘法方法通常低估观察值,并且加法方法的误差幅度通常更大。使用乘法方法估计的 HSUV 值对于较低的 HSUV 值趋于降低,并且最大误差在观察到的 HSUV 值>0.6 时最大。估计值的差异会导致增量成本效果比产生实质性差异。基于当前证据,提倡使用乘法方法,但需要进一步研究以确定在估算其他合并症的价值时使用适当的方法。