Association of Systemic Inflammatory and Anti-inflammatory Responses with Adverse Outcomes in Acute Pancreatitis: Preliminary Results of an Ongoing Study.

INTRODUCTION

This paper reports preliminary data of an ongoing study that evaluates the association of systemic inflammatory response (SIRS) with early severe acute pancreatitis (ESAP) and compensatory anti-inflammatory response syndrome (characterized by HLA-DR down-regulation) with infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN).

METHODS

Consecutive patients presenting within 72 h of symptom onset with organ dysfunction and/or local complications were included. Following parameters were recorded: demographics, etiology, SIRS, APACHE II, creatinine, BUN. Circulating IL-8, IL-6, IL-10, TNF-alpha concentrations and expression of HLA-DR and IL-10 by qRT-PCR in PBMCs were measured. Strength of associations of cytokine concentration and HLA-DR/IL-10 expression with outcomes was expressed as Hedges' G and relative risk (95% CI).

RESULTS

Twenty-eight patients (10 MSAP; 18 SAP) fulfilled inclusion criteria. Twelve patients had ESAP and eight presented with organ failure. Admission SIRS worsened in eight (28.6%) patients over 48 h. Sixteen (57.1%) patients developed primary IPN. Twenty-one (75%) patients had HLA-DR down-regulation during the first week, which persisted to the second week in 12 (42.9%) patients. IL-8, IL-6, and TNF-α progressively increased from healthy controls to MAP to MSAP to SAP. IL-6 and TNF-α was higher in the patients who developed ESAP (p = 0.01 and 0.05, respectively). Patients who died within the first week also had a significantly elevated concentration of IL-6 and TNF-α (p = 0.02 and 0.01, respectively). The relative risk (95% CI) of developing primary IPN with persistent HLA-DR down-regulation till the second week of illness was 11.3 (1.6-82.4; p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study objectively demonstrates significant association of ESAP and early mortality with primary cytokine response, and development of IPN with persistent HLA-DR down-regulation.