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基于熵权法和未确知测度的城市可持续交通发展评价

Assessment of sustainable urban transport development based on entropy and unascertained measure.

作者信息

Li Yancang, Yang Jing, Shi Huawang, Li Yijie

机构信息

College of Civil Engineering, Hebei University of Engineering, Handan, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2017 Oct 30;12(10):e0186893. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0186893. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

To find a more effective method for the assessment of sustainable urban transport development, the comprehensive assessment model of sustainable urban transport development was established based on the unascertained measure. On the basis of considering the factors influencing urban transport development, the comprehensive assessment indexes were selected, including urban economical development, transport demand, environment quality and energy consumption, and the assessment system of sustainable urban transport development was proposed. In view of different influencing factors of urban transport development, the index weight was calculated through the entropy weight coefficient method. Qualitative and quantitative analyses were conducted according to the actual condition. Then, the grade was obtained by using the credible degree recognition criterion from which the urban transport development level can be determined. Finally, a comprehensive assessment method for urban transport development was introduced. The application practice showed that the method can be used reasonably and effectively for the comprehensive assessment of urban transport development.

摘要

为找到一种更有效的城市可持续交通发展评估方法,基于未确知测度建立了城市可持续交通发展综合评估模型。在考虑影响城市交通发展因素的基础上,选取了城市经济发展、交通需求、环境质量和能源消耗等综合评估指标,提出了城市可持续交通发展评估体系。针对城市交通发展的不同影响因素,采用熵权系数法计算指标权重。根据实际情况进行定性和定量分析。然后,运用置信度识别准则得出等级,据此确定城市交通发展水平。最后,介绍了一种城市交通发展综合评估方法。应用实践表明,该方法可合理有效地用于城市交通发展的综合评估。

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