Department of Public Health Sciences, Karolinska Institutet, 171 77 Stockholm, Sweden.
Unit of Biostatistics, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, 171 77 Stockholm, Sweden.
Biomed Res Int. 2017;2017:5806185. doi: 10.1155/2017/5806185. Epub 2017 Oct 16.
The association between the particulate matters with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 m (PM) and daily respiratory deaths, particularly the concentration-response pattern, has not been fully examined and established in China. We conducted a systematic review of time-series studies to compile information on the associations between PM concentration and respiratory deaths and used metaregression to assess the concentration-response relationship. Out of 1,957 studies screened, eleven articles in English and two articles in Chinese met the eligibility criteria. For single-day lags, per 10 g/m increase in PM concentration was associated with 0.30 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.10, 0.50] percent increase in daily respiratory deaths; for multiday lags, the corresponding increase in respiratory deaths was 0.69 (95% CI: 0.55, 0.83) percent. Difference in the effects was observed between the northern cities and the south cities in China. No statistically significant concentration-response relationship between PM concentrations and their effects was found. With increasingly wider location coverage for PM data, it is crucial to further investigate the concentration-response pattern of PM effects on respiratory and other cause-specific mortality for the refinement and adaptation of global and national air quality guidelines and targets.
在中国,大气动力学直径≤2.5μm 的颗粒物(PM)与每日呼吸死亡之间的关联,特别是浓度-反应模式,尚未得到充分研究和确定。我们对时间序列研究进行了系统综述,以汇编 PM 浓度与呼吸死亡之间关联的信息,并使用荟萃回归来评估浓度-反应关系。在筛选出的 1957 项研究中,有 11 篇英文文章和 2 篇中文文章符合入选标准。对于单日滞后,PM 浓度每增加 10μg/m,每日呼吸死亡的百分比增加 0.30(95%置信区间:0.10,0.50);对于多日滞后,呼吸死亡的相应增加百分比为 0.69(95%置信区间:0.55,0.83)。在中国,北方城市和南方城市之间的影响存在差异。未发现 PM 浓度与其影响之间存在统计学上显著的浓度-反应关系。随着 PM 数据的位置覆盖范围越来越广,对于全球和国家空气质量指南和目标的细化和调整,进一步研究 PM 对呼吸和其他特定原因死亡率的影响的浓度-反应模式至关重要。