Department of Biology, Hendrix College, 1600 Washington Ave., Conway, AR 72032, United States.
Department of Entomology, Washington State University, Pullman, WA 99164, United States.
Curr Opin Insect Sci. 2017 Oct;23:59-64. doi: 10.1016/j.cois.2017.07.006. Epub 2017 Jul 29.
Global climate change is often expected to disrupt biological control. Predicting the effects of climate change on biological control, and identifying natural enemies that will thrive in future climate scenarios, is thus essential to ensure agricultural sustainability. To promote biological control under climate change, land managers should prioritise the conservation of natural enemy diversity to ensure some effective natural enemies are always present despite often-unpredictable climate scenarios. In addition, ecophysiological and habitat domain models should be combined to predict climate change-induced shifts in predation by diverse predator communities. Finally, insights from land managers during extreme weather events, such as droughts and heat waves, may be invaluable in the effort to identify key biological control agents for future scenarios.
全球气候变化通常会破坏生物防治。因此，预测气候变化对生物防治的影响，以及识别在未来气候情景下会茁壮成长的天敌，对于确保农业可持续性至关重要。为了在气候变化下促进生物防治，土地管理者应优先保护天敌的多样性，以确保在经常不可预测的气候情景下，始终存在一些有效的天敌。此外，应将生理生态和生境领域模型相结合，以预测由不同捕食者群落引起的气候变化引起的捕食作用变化。最后，在干旱和热浪等极端天气事件期间，从土地管理者那里获得的见解可能对于确定未来情景中的关键生物防治剂非常有价值。
