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新兴市场对制药行业的影响。

The Influence of Emerging Markets on the Pharmaceutical Industry.

作者信息

Tannoury Maya, Attieh Zouhair

机构信息

Faculty of Health Sciences, American University of Science and Technology, Beirut, Lebanon.

出版信息

Curr Ther Res Clin Exp. 2017 Apr 18;86:19-22. doi: 10.1016/j.curtheres.2017.04.005. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

Emerging markets represent an exceptional opportunity for the pharmaceutical industry. Although a precise definition is not yet available, economists define emerging markets as developing prosperous countries in which investment is expected to result in higher income despite high risks. Qualifying a market as emerging is not merely based on the economic status of the country, but also on several criteria that render the definition applicable to each country. Jim O'Neil, retired chairman of asset management at Goldman Sachs, identified leading economies of emerging markets: Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRIC) and later Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS) and then Mexico, Indonesia, South Korea, and Turkey (MIST), which followed years later as the second tier of nations. Sales of the pharmaceutical markets in BRICS and MIST countries doubled in 5 years, reaching a market share of approximately 20%. The shift toward these new markets has been attributed to the large populations, growing prosperity, and increasing life expectancy in BRICS and MIST countries. In addition, companies are experiencing flattened growth of developed markets, expiration of patents leading to the up-selling of less expensive generic drugs, and tight regulations enforced in mature markets. Particular attention must therefore be given to these emerging markets. The strategies adopted by pharmaceutical companies that want to expand in these markets must be tailored to the pace of development of each country. These countries need drugs against infectious diseases and communicable diseases such as sexually transmitted diseases. They are readily exploitable territories for the innovative products of pharmaceuticals. Nevertheless, with the increase in wealth and longevity, a change of lifestyle is occurring. These changes accompany a shift in disease patterns. A disproportionally fast rise in the incidence of noncommunicable diseases such as cardiovascular illnesses, diabetes, and oncologic diseases has been observed in emerging markets, mimicking their Western counterparts. The incidence of diabetes and oncologic diseases is expected to grow by 20% or more by 2030. This shows that pharmaceutical industries will also be able to market their global products in these new countries. Conquering emerging markets can be challenging for industries. These challenges can be grouped into 3 categories: infrastructure development, cost-containment policies, and value-driven drug evaluation. Top strategies considered to overcome these challenges include adequate tailoring and a gain in market.

摘要

新兴市场对制药行业来说是一个绝佳机遇。尽管目前尚无精确的定义,但经济学家将新兴市场定义为发展中的繁荣国家,在这些国家,尽管风险很高,但投资有望带来更高的收入。将一个市场认定为新兴市场不仅基于该国的经济状况,还基于若干使该定义适用于每个国家的标准。高盛资产管理公司退休董事长吉姆·奥尼尔确定了新兴市场的主要经济体:巴西、俄罗斯、印度和中国(金砖四国),后来又有巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非(金砖五国),随后几年又出现了墨西哥、印度尼西亚、韩国和土耳其(迷雾四国),作为第二梯队国家。金砖五国和迷雾四国制药市场的销售额在5年内翻了一番,市场份额达到约20%。向这些新市场的转变归因于金砖五国和迷雾四国庞大的人口、日益增长的繁荣程度以及不断提高的预期寿命。此外,各公司正经历发达市场增长乏力、专利到期导致更便宜的仿制药销量上升以及成熟市场实施严格监管等情况。因此,必须特别关注这些新兴市场。希望在这些市场扩张的制药公司所采用的策略必须根据每个国家的发展速度进行调整。这些国家需要治疗传染病和诸如性传播疾病等可传播疾病的药物。它们是制药创新产品易于开拓的领域。然而,随着财富增加和寿命延长,生活方式正在发生变化。这些变化伴随着疾病模式的转变。在新兴市场,非传染性疾病如心血管疾病、糖尿病和肿瘤疾病的发病率出现了不成比例的快速上升,与西方情况类似。预计到2030年,糖尿病和肿瘤疾病的发病率将增长20%或更多。这表明制药行业也将能够在这些新国家销售其全球产品。对于各行业来说,攻克新兴市场可能具有挑战性。这些挑战可分为三类:基础设施发展、成本控制政策和价值驱动的药物评估。被认为克服这些挑战的首要策略包括适当调整和扩大市场份额。

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