Xhaard Constance, Rubino Carole, Souchard Vincent, Maillard Stéphane, Ren Yan, Borson-Chazot Françoise, Sassolas Geneviève, Schvartz Claire, Colonna Marc, Lacour Brigitte, Woronoff Anne Sophie, Velten Michel, Marrer Emilie, Bailly Laurent, Mariné Barjoan Eugènia, Schlumberger Martin, Drozdovitch Vladimir, Bouville Andre, Orgiazzi Jacques, Adjadj Elisabeth, de Vathaire Florent
Inserm, Center for Research in Epidemiology and Population Health (CESP), U1018, Radiation Epidemiology Group, Villejuif, F-94805, France; Gustave Roussy, Villejuif, F-94805, France; University of Paris-Sud, Villejuif, F-94800, France.
Lyon University Hospital, Lyon, France.
Cancer Epidemiol. 2018 Feb;52:142-147. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2017.12.015. Epub 2018 Jan 8.
The Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident occurred in Ukraine on April 26th 1986. In France, the radioactive fallout and thyroid radiation doses were much lower than in highly contaminated areas. However, a number of risk projections have suggested that a small excess in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) might occur in eastern France due to this low-level fallout. In order to investigate this potential impact, a case-control study on DTC risk factors was started in 2005, focusing on cases who were less than 15 years old at the time of the Chernobyl accident. Here, we aim to evaluate the relationship between some specific reports of potentially contaminated food between April and June 1986 - in particular fresh dairy products and leafy vegetables - and DTC risk.
After excluding subjects who were not born before the Chernobyl accident, the study included 747 cases of DTC matched with 815 controls. Odds ratios were calculated using conditional logistic regression models and were reported for all participants, for women only, for papillary cancer only, and excluding microcarcinomas.
The DTC risk was slightly higher for participants who had consumed locally produced leafy vegetables. However, this association was not stronger in the more contaminated areas than in the others. Conversely, the reported consumption of fresh dairy products was not statistically associated with DTC risk.
Because the increase in DTC risk associated with a higher consumption of locally produced vegetables was not more important in the most contaminated areas, our study lacked power to provide evidence for a strong association between consumption of potentially contaminated food and DTC risk.
1986年4月26日,乌克兰发生了切尔诺贝利核电站事故。在法国,放射性沉降物和甲状腺辐射剂量远低于高污染地区。然而,一些风险预测表明,由于这种低水平沉降,法国东部可能会出现分化型甲状腺癌(DTC)略有增加的情况。为了调查这种潜在影响,2005年启动了一项关于DTC危险因素的病例对照研究,重点关注切尔诺贝利事故发生时年龄小于15岁的病例。在此,我们旨在评估1986年4月至6月期间一些关于潜在受污染食物的具体报告——特别是新鲜乳制品和绿叶蔬菜——与DTC风险之间的关系。
在排除切尔诺贝利事故之前未出生的受试者后,该研究纳入了747例DTC病例,并与815名对照进行匹配。使用条件逻辑回归模型计算比值比,并报告所有参与者、仅女性、仅乳头状癌以及排除微癌的情况。
食用当地生产的绿叶蔬菜的参与者患DTC的风险略高。然而,这种关联在污染更严重的地区并不比其他地区更强。相反,报告的新鲜乳制品消费量与DTC风险在统计学上没有关联。
由于在污染最严重的地区,与食用更多当地生产的蔬菜相关的DTC风险增加并不更显著,我们的研究缺乏能力为食用潜在受污染食物与DTC风险之间的强关联提供证据。