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不同昆虫生活史下杀虫剂抗性的最优管理策略:选择的异质时间和斑块间扩散

Optimal management strategy of insecticide resistance under various insect life histories: Heterogeneous timing of selection and interpatch dispersal.

作者信息

Sudo Masaaki, Takahashi Daisuke, Andow David A, Suzuki Yoshito, Yamanaka Takehiko

机构信息

Statistical Modeling UnitInstitute for Agro-Environmental Sciences NARO, Tsukuba Ibaraki Japan.

Tea Pest Management Unit Institute of Fruit Tree and Tea Science NARO, Kanaya, Shimada, Shizuoka Japan.

出版信息

Evol Appl. 2017 Nov 2;11(2):271-283. doi: 10.1111/eva.12550. eCollection 2018 Feb.

Abstract

Although theoretical studies have shown that the mixture strategy, which uses multiple toxins simultaneously, can effectively delay the evolution of insecticide resistance, whether it is the optimal management strategy under different insect life histories and insecticide types remains unknown. To test the robustness of this management strategy over different life histories, we developed a series of simulation models that cover almost all the diploid insect types and have the same basic structure describing pest population dynamics and resistance evolution with discrete time steps. For each of two insecticidal toxins, independent one-locus two-allele autosomal inheritance of resistance was assumed. The simulations demonstrated the optimality of the mixture strategy either when insecticide efficacy was incomplete or when some part of the population disperses between patches before mating. The rotation strategy, which uses one insecticide on one pest generation and a different one on the next, did not differ from sequential usage in the time to resistance, except when dominance was low. It was the optimal strategy when insecticide efficacy was high and premating selection and dispersal occur.

摘要

尽管理论研究表明,同时使用多种毒素的混合策略能够有效延缓抗药性的进化,但在不同昆虫生活史和杀虫剂类型下,它是否为最优管理策略仍不明确。为了测试这种管理策略在不同生活史上的稳健性,我们开发了一系列模拟模型,这些模型涵盖了几乎所有二倍体昆虫类型,并且具有相同的基本结构,以离散时间步长描述害虫种群动态和抗性进化。对于两种杀虫毒素中的每一种,均假设抗性由单基因座双等位基因常染色体遗传。模拟结果表明,当杀虫剂效果不完全时,或者当部分种群在交配前在斑块间扩散时,混合策略是最优的。轮用策略,即在一代害虫上使用一种杀虫剂,在下一代使用另一种不同的杀虫剂,在抗性出现时间上与顺序使用没有差异,除非显性程度较低。当杀虫剂效果良好且存在交配前选择和扩散时,轮用策略是最优策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/14a6/5775500/1202d08fd9a1/EVA-11-271-g001.jpg

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