Department of Surgery, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, Texas.
Department of Pharmaceutical Health Outcomes and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Houston, Houston, Texas.
Cancer. 2018 May 1;124(9):2018-2025. doi: 10.1002/cncr.31269. Epub 2018 Feb 1.
This study was designed to adapt the Elixhauser comorbidity index for 4 cancer-specific populations (breast, prostate, lung, and colorectal) and compare 3 versions of the Elixhauser comorbidity score (individual comorbidities, summary comorbidity score, and cancer-specific summary comorbidity score) with 3 versions of the Charlson comorbidity score for predicting 2-year survival with 4 types of cancer.
This cohort study used Texas Cancer Registry-linked Medicare data from 2005 to 2011 for older patients diagnosed with breast (n = 19,082), prostate (n = 23,044), lung (n = 26,047), or colorectal cancer (n = 16,693). For each cancer cohort, the data were split into training and validation cohorts. In the training cohort, competing risk regression was used to model the association of Elixhauser comorbidities with 2-year noncancer mortality, and cancer-specific weights were derived for each comorbidity. In the validation cohort, competing risk regression was used to compare 3 versions of the Elixhauser comorbidity score with 3 versions of the Charlson comorbidity score. Model performance was evaluated with c statistics.
The 2-year noncancer mortality rates were 14.5% (lung cancer), 11.5% (colorectal cancer), 5.7% (breast cancer), and 4.1% (prostate cancer). Cancer-specific Elixhauser comorbidity scores (c = 0.773 for breast cancer, c = 0.772 for prostate cancer, c = 0.579 for lung cancer, and c = 0.680 for colorectal cancer) performed slightly better than cancer-specific Charlson comorbidity scores (ie, the National Cancer Institute combined index; c = 0.762 for breast cancer, c = 0.767 for prostate cancer, c = 0.578 for lung cancer, and c = 0.674 for colorectal cancer). Individual Elixhauser comorbidities performed best (c = 0.779 for breast cancer, c = 0.783 for prostate cancer, c = 0.587 for lung cancer, and c = 0.687 for colorectal cancer).
The cancer-specific Elixhauser comorbidity score performed as well as or slightly better than the cancer-specific Charlson comorbidity score in predicting 2-year survival. If the sample size permits, using individual Elixhauser comorbidities may be the best way to control for confounding in cancer outcomes research. Cancer 2018;124:2018-25. © 2018 American Cancer Society.
本研究旨在为 4 种癌症(乳腺癌、前列腺癌、肺癌和结直肠癌)患者量身定制 Elixhauser 合并症指数,并将 Elixhauser 合并症评分的 3 个版本(个体合并症、综合合并症评分和癌症特异性综合合并症评分)与 Charlson 合并症评分的 3 个版本进行比较,以预测 4 种癌症的 2 年生存率。
本队列研究使用了 2005 年至 2011 年来自德克萨斯州癌症登记处链接的医疗保险数据,涉及被诊断患有乳腺癌(n=19082)、前列腺癌(n=23044)、肺癌(n=26047)或结直肠癌(n=16693)的老年患者。对于每个癌症队列,数据分为训练和验证队列。在训练队列中,竞争风险回归用于模拟 Elixhauser 合并症与 2 年非癌症死亡率之间的关系,并为每个合并症得出癌症特异性权重。在验证队列中,竞争风险回归用于比较 Elixhauser 合并症评分的 3 个版本与 Charlson 合并症评分的 3 个版本。使用 c 统计量评估模型性能。
2 年非癌症死亡率分别为 14.5%(肺癌)、11.5%(结直肠癌)、5.7%(乳腺癌)和 4.1%(前列腺癌)。癌症特异性 Elixhauser 合并症评分(乳腺癌为 0.773,前列腺癌为 0.772,肺癌为 0.579,结直肠癌为 0.680)略优于癌症特异性 Charlson 合并症评分(即国家癌症研究所综合指数;乳腺癌为 0.762,前列腺癌为 0.767,肺癌为 0.578,结直肠癌为 0.674)。个体 Elixhauser 合并症的表现最佳(乳腺癌为 0.779,前列腺癌为 0.783,肺癌为 0.587,结直肠癌为 0.687)。
在预测 2 年生存率方面,癌症特异性 Elixhauser 合并症评分与癌症特异性 Charlson 合并症评分表现相当或略好。如果样本量允许,使用个体 Elixhauser 合并症可能是控制癌症结局研究中混杂因素的最佳方法。癌症 2018;124:2018-25。©2018 美国癌症协会。