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出生性别比与健康及社会经济指标的相关性。

Correlation of sex ratio at birth with health and socioeconomic indicators.

作者信息

Grech Victor

机构信息

Paediatric Department, University of Malta Medical School, Msida, Malta.

出版信息

Early Hum Dev. 2018 Mar;118:22-24. doi: 10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2018.02.002. Epub 2018 Feb 10.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The sex ratio at birth (male divided by total live births: M/T) has been mooted as a potential sentinel health indicator. Several metrics indicate individual countries' health and socioeconomic status. In this study, in all available countries (where such data was accessible), M/T and these indicators were compared in order to ascertain whether better (vis-à-vis health and socioeconomic status) levels of these indicators were associated with higher M/T in available countries.

METHODS

The following were obtained (by country) from various sources: M/T, infant mortality rate, under 5 years mortality rate, fertility rate, Human Development Index, gross domestic product per capita, life expectancy for both sexes, females, males, as well as both sexes Health Adjusted Life Expectancy (HALE). Pearson correlation was performed comparing M/T and these indicators.

RESULTS

Despite weak correlation values, all except for the Human Development Index (HDI) correlated with M/T at statistically significant levels.

DISCUSSION

A decrease in mortality and an increase in life expectancy and GDP/capita are indicators of socioeconomic wellbeing. In this study, mortality was negatively correlated with M/T. Life expectancy and GDP/capita were both positively correlated with M/T, indicating that M/T may also serve as a surrogate health indicator, and incidentally, also supporting the Trivers-Willard hypothesis. Improving economies lead to increasing education, which in turns tends to lower fertility rate in association with a declining M/T. In conclusion, the global correlation of health and socioeconomic indicators with M/T suggests that M/T may be a useful sentinel health indicator.

摘要

引言

出生性别比(男性除以总活产数:M/T)已被提议作为一个潜在的哨兵健康指标。几个指标表明了各个国家的健康和社会经济状况。在本研究中,在所有可获取此类数据的国家,对M/T与这些指标进行了比较,以确定在这些可获取数据的国家中,这些指标更好的水平(相对于健康和社会经济状况而言)是否与更高的M/T相关。

方法

通过不同来源按国家获取以下数据:M/T、婴儿死亡率、5岁以下儿童死亡率、生育率、人类发展指数、人均国内生产总值、男女预期寿命、女性预期寿命、男性预期寿命以及男女健康调整预期寿命(HALE)。对M/T与这些指标进行了Pearson相关性分析。

结果

尽管相关性值较弱,但除人类发展指数(HDI)外,所有指标与M/T的相关性在统计学上均具有显著意义。

讨论

死亡率降低、预期寿命增加以及人均国内生产总值提高是社会经济福祉的指标。在本研究中,死亡率与M/T呈负相关。预期寿命和人均国内生产总值均与M/T呈正相关,这表明M/T也可能作为一个替代健康指标,顺便也支持了特里弗斯 - 威拉德假说。经济改善导致教育水平提高,这反过来往往会降低生育率并伴随着M/T下降。总之,健康和社会经济指标与M/T的全球相关性表明M/T可能是一个有用的哨兵健康指标。

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