School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK.
Quadram Institute, Norwich Research Park, Colney, Norwich, NR4 7UA, UK.
Curr Environ Health Rep. 2018 Mar;5(1):187-196. doi: 10.1007/s40572-018-0189-9.
We present a review of the likely consequences of climate change for foodborne pathogens and associated human illness in higher-income countries.
The relationships between climate and food are complex and hence the impacts of climate change uncertain. This makes it difficult to know which foodborne pathogens will be most affected, what the specific effects will be, and on what timescales changes might occur. Hence, a focus upon current capacity and adaptation potential against foodborne pathogens is essential. We highlight a number of developments that may enhance preparedness for climate change. These include the following: Adoption of novel surveillance methods, such as syndromic methods, to speed up detection and increase the fidelity of intervention in foodborne outbreaks Genotype-based approaches to surveillance of food pathogens to enhance spatiotemporal resolution in tracing and tracking of illness Ever increasing integration of plant, animal and human surveillance systems, One Health, to maximise potential for identifying threats Increased commitment to cross-border (global) information initiatives (including big data) Improved clarity regarding the governance of complex societal issues such as the conflict between food safety and food waste Strong user-centric (social) communications strategies to engage diverse stakeholder groups The impact of climate change upon foodborne pathogens and associated illness is uncertain. This emphasises the need to enhance current capacity and adaptation potential against foodborne illness. A range of developments are explored in this paper to enhance preparedness.
我们对气候变化可能对高收入国家食源性病原体及相关人类疾病产生的影响进行综述。
气候与食物之间的关系复杂,因此气候变化的影响不确定。这使得很难确定哪些食源性病原体受影响最大,具体影响是什么,以及变化可能在什么时间尺度上发生。因此,关注针对食源性病原体的现有能力和适应潜力至关重要。我们强调了一些可能增强对气候变化的准备的发展。这些包括以下方面:采用新的监测方法,如综合征方法,以加快检测速度并提高食源性疾病爆发干预的准确性;基于基因型的食源性病原体监测方法,以提高追踪和跟踪疾病的时空分辨率;不断增强动植物和人类监测系统的整合,即“同一健康”,以最大限度地发现威胁;加强跨境(全球)信息倡议(包括大数据)的承诺;提高对食品安全与食物浪费之间冲突等复杂社会问题治理的明确性;采用以用户为中心(社会)的沟通策略,吸引不同的利益相关者群体。气候变化对食源性病原体及相关疾病的影响不确定。这强调了需要增强针对食源性病原体的现有能力和适应潜力。本文探讨了一系列增强准备的发展。