Thorsen Margaret, Hill Jeremy, Farber Jeffrey, Yiannas Frank, Rietjens Ivonne M C M, Venter Pierre, Lues Ryk, Bremer Phil
Department of Food Science, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Fonterra Research and Development Centre, Palmerston North, New Zealand.
Compr Rev Food Sci Food Saf. 2025 May;24(3):e70170. doi: 10.1111/1541-4337.70170.
The world is changing at a pace, driven by global megatrends and their interactions. Megatrends, including climate change, the drive for sustainability, an aging population, urbanization, and geopolitical tensions, are producing an increasingly challenging environment for the provision of a safe and secure food supply. To ensure a robust, safe, and secure food supply for all, potential food safety impacts associated with these megatrends need to be understood, and mitigation and management plans must be implemented. This paper outlines the relevant megatrends, discusses their potential impact on food safety, and suggests steps to help ensure the production of safe food in the future. Megatrends are increasingly driving resource depletion, reducing the vitality of plants and animals, increasing the geographical spread of animal and plant pathogens, increasing the risk of mycotoxins, agrichemical residues, and antimicrobial-resistant pathogens contaminating foods, and threatening to destabilize food systems and the food regulatory network. Science-based actions, adopting continual and dynamic risk assessments, alongside the use of more sensitive and accurate methods for the detection of contaminants, may counter these challenges. The use of artificial intelligence, robotics and automation, the enhancement of food safety cultures, the continued education and training of workforces, and the implementation of risk-based food regulations will help ensure preventative controls are in place. As low-income countries and smallholder farmers are more likely to be exposed to the impact of these megatrends and less likely to have resources to counter them, geographical social inequality, unrest, and population migration are likely to be exacerbated unless urgent action is taken.
世界正以一定的速度发生变化,这是由全球大趋势及其相互作用所驱动的。包括气候变化、可持续发展驱动力、人口老龄化、城市化以及地缘政治紧张局势在内的大趋势,正在为提供安全可靠的食品供应创造一个日益具有挑战性的环境。为确保为所有人提供充足、安全和可靠的食品供应,需要了解与这些大趋势相关的潜在食品安全影响,并必须实施缓解和管理计划。本文概述了相关的大趋势,讨论了它们对食品安全的潜在影响,并提出了有助于确保未来生产安全食品的措施。大趋势正日益导致资源枯竭,降低动植物的活力,增加动植物病原体的地理传播范围,增加霉菌毒素、农业化学残留物和抗微生物病原体污染食品的风险,并有可能破坏食品系统和食品监管网络的稳定。采取基于科学的行动,采用持续动态的风险评估,同时使用更灵敏准确的污染物检测方法,可能应对这些挑战。利用人工智能、机器人技术和自动化,加强食品安全文化,持续开展劳动力教育和培训,以及实施基于风险的食品法规,将有助于确保预防控制措施到位。由于低收入国家和小农户更有可能受到这些大趋势的影响,而且更缺乏应对资源,除非采取紧急行动,否则地理上的社会不平等、动荡和人口迁移可能会加剧。