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口服脊髓灰质炎疫苗全国免疫运动降低全因死亡率:七项随机试验中的一项自然实验

National Immunization Campaigns with Oral Polio Vaccine Reduce All-Cause Mortality: A Natural Experiment within Seven Randomized Trials.

作者信息

Andersen Andreas, Fisker Ane Baerent, Rodrigues Amabelia, Martins Cesario, Ravn Henrik, Lund Najaaraq, Biering-Sørensen Sofie, Benn Christine Stabell, Aaby Peter

机构信息

Research Centre for Vitamins and Vaccines (CVIVA), Bandim Health Project, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.

Bandim Health Project, Indepth Network, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2018 Feb 2;6:13. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2018.00013. eCollection 2018.

DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2018.00013
PMID:29456992
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5801299/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

A recent WHO review concluded that live BCG and measles vaccine (MV) may have beneficial non-specific effects (NSEs) reducing mortality from non-targeted diseases. NSEs of oral polio vaccine (OPV) were not examined. If OPV vaccination campaigns reduce the mortality rate, it would suggest beneficial NSEs.

SETTING

Between 2002 and 2014, Guinea-Bissau had 15 general OPV campaigns and other campaigns with OPV plus vitamin A supplementation (VAS), VAS-only, MV, and H1N1 vaccine. In this period, we conducted seven randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with mortality as main outcome.

METHODS

Within these RCTs, we assessed whether the mortality rate was lower after-campaign than before-campaign. We used Cox models with age as underlying time and further adjusted for low birth-weight, season and time trend in mortality. We calculated the adjusted mortality rate ratio (MRR) for after-campaign vs before-campaign.

RESULTS

The mortality rate was lower after OPV-only campaigns than before, the MRR being 0.81 (95% CI = 0.68-0.95). With each additional dose of campaign-OPV the mortality rate declined further (MRR = 0.87 (95% CI: 0.79-0.96) per dose) (test for trend,  = 0.005). No other type of campaign had similar beneficial effects. Depending on initial age and with follow-up to 3 years of age, the number needed to treat with campaign-OPV-only to save one life was between 68 and 230 children.

CONCLUSION

Bissau had no case of polio infection so the results suggest that campaign-OPV has beneficial NSEs. Discontinuation of OPV-campaigns in low-income countries may affect general child mortality levels negatively.

摘要

背景

世界卫生组织最近的一项综述得出结论,卡介苗活疫苗和麻疹疫苗(MV)可能具有有益的非特异性效应(NSEs),可降低非目标疾病的死亡率。口服脊髓灰质炎疫苗(OPV)的非特异性效应未作研究。如果OPV疫苗接种活动能降低死亡率,则表明存在有益的非特异性效应。

背景情况

2002年至2014年期间,几内亚比绍开展了15次常规OPV疫苗接种活动以及其他包含OPV加维生素A补充剂(VAS)、仅含VAS、MV和H1N1疫苗的活动。在此期间,我们开展了7项以死亡率为主要结局的随机对照试验(RCTs)。

方法

在这些随机对照试验中,我们评估了疫苗接种活动后死亡率是否低于活动前。我们使用以年龄为基础时间的Cox模型,并进一步对低出生体重、季节和死亡率的时间趋势进行了调整。我们计算了活动后与活动前的调整死亡率比(MRR)。

结果

仅开展OPV疫苗接种活动后的死亡率低于活动前,MRR为0.81(95%置信区间=0.68 - 0.95)。每额外增加一剂活动用OPV,死亡率进一步下降(每剂MRR = 0.87(95%置信区间:0.79 - 0.96))(趋势检验,P = 0.005)。没有其他类型的活动有类似的有益效果。根据初始年龄并随访至3岁,仅通过活动用OPV挽救一条生命所需治疗的儿童数量在68至230名之间。

结论

几内亚比绍没有脊髓灰质炎感染病例,因此结果表明活动用OPV具有有益的非特异性效应。低收入国家停止OPV疫苗接种活动可能会对儿童总体死亡率水平产生负面影响。

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