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人越多越热闹?在名义群体中,增加群体规模可能不利于决策表现。

The more the merrier? Increasing group size may be detrimental to decision-making performance in nominal groups.

作者信息

Amir Ofra, Amir Dor, Shahar Yuval, Hart Yuval, Gal Kobi

机构信息

Technion - Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.

Ben-Gurion University, Beer-Sheva, Israel.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2018 Feb 27;13(2):e0192213. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0192213. eCollection 2018.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0192213
PMID:29485989
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5828441/
Abstract

Demonstrability-the extent to which group members can recognize a correct solution to a problem-has a significant effect on group performance. However, the interplay between group size, demonstrability and performance is not well understood. This paper addresses these gaps by studying the joint effect of two factors-the difficulty of solving a problem and the difficulty of verifying the correctness of a solution-on the ability of groups of varying sizes to converge to correct solutions. Our empirical investigations use problem instances from different computational complexity classes, NP-Complete (NPC) and PSPACE-complete (PSC), that exhibit similar solution difficulty but differ in verification difficulty. Our study focuses on nominal groups to isolate the effect of problem complexity on performance. We show that NPC problems have higher demonstrability than PSC problems: participants were significantly more likely to recognize correct and incorrect solutions for NPC problems than for PSC problems. We further show that increasing the group size can actually decrease group performance for some problems of low demonstrability. We analytically derive the boundary that distinguishes these problems from others for which group performance monotonically improves with group size. These findings increase our understanding of the mechanisms that underlie group problem-solving processes, and can inform the design of systems and processes that would better facilitate collective decision-making.

摘要

可证明性——小组成员能够识别问题正确解决方案的程度——对小组绩效有重大影响。然而,小组规模、可证明性和绩效之间的相互作用尚未得到很好的理解。本文通过研究两个因素——解决问题的难度和验证解决方案正确性的难度——对不同规模小组收敛到正确解决方案能力的联合影响,来填补这些空白。我们的实证研究使用了来自不同计算复杂度类别的问题实例,即NP完全(NPC)和PSPACE完全(PSC),它们表现出相似的解决方案难度,但在验证难度上有所不同。我们的研究聚焦于名义小组,以分离问题复杂度对绩效的影响。我们表明,NPC问题比PSC问题具有更高的可证明性:与PSC问题相比,参与者识别NPC问题正确和错误解决方案的可能性显著更高。我们进一步表明,对于某些可证明性较低的问题,增加小组规模实际上可能会降低小组绩效。我们通过分析得出了区分这些问题与其他小组绩效随小组规模单调提高的问题的边界。这些发现增进了我们对小组解决问题过程背后机制的理解,并可为更好地促进集体决策的系统和流程设计提供参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08f1/5828441/6aa84ee06b3e/pone.0192213.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08f1/5828441/7a5bffaf0d74/pone.0192213.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08f1/5828441/ad8863096b5a/pone.0192213.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08f1/5828441/4475ff18f403/pone.0192213.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08f1/5828441/6aa84ee06b3e/pone.0192213.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08f1/5828441/7a5bffaf0d74/pone.0192213.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08f1/5828441/ad8863096b5a/pone.0192213.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08f1/5828441/4475ff18f403/pone.0192213.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/08f1/5828441/6aa84ee06b3e/pone.0192213.g004.jpg

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