Morales-Roselló José, Khalil Asma, Fornés-Ferrer Victoria, Perales-Marín Alfredo
a Servicio de Obstetricia , Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La Fe , Valencia , Spain.
b Departamento de Pediatría Obstetricia y Ginecología , Universidad de Valencia , Valencia , Spain.
J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med. 2019 Sep;32(17):2842-2852. doi: 10.1080/14767058.2018.1450380. Epub 2018 Mar 21.
To study the accuracy of the cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) for the detection of intrapartum fetal compromise (IFC) in fetuses growing over the 10th centile. This was a prospective study of 569 nonsmall fetuses attending the day hospital unit of a tertiary hospital that underwent an ultrasound examination at 36-40 weeks, and were delivered within 4 weeks of examination. IFC was defined as a composite of abnormal intrapartum fetal heart rate or intrapartum fetal scalp pH <7.20 requiring cesarean section, neonatal umbilical cord pH <7.20, 5 min Apgar score <7 and postpartum admission to neonatal or pediatric intensive care units. The accuracy of CPR for the prediction of IFC was calculated alone and in combination with other perinatal parameters using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models, which alternatively included the onset of labor to evaluate the influence of induction of labor (IOL) on IFC, and a brief composite adverse outcome of two parameters to prove the strength of the approach. The incidence of IFC was 17.9%. CPR sensitivity was 30.4% for a false positive rate (FFR) of 10 and 14.7% for an FPP of 5% (AUC = 0.62, < .001). The multivariate analysis showed that only fetal gender and parity increased the predictive accuracy of CPR alone, although the improvement was poor (AUC = 0.67, < .001). No differences were observed using any of the alternative models. Finally, IOL had no influence on IFC. Despite their apparent normality, a proportion of fetuses growing over the 10th centile suffer IFC. Some of them are suitable for detection by means of CPR.
为研究脑胎盘比率(CPR)用于检测第10百分位数以上生长胎儿的产时胎儿窘迫(IFC)的准确性。这是一项对569例非小胎儿的前瞻性研究,这些胎儿在一家三级医院的日间病房就诊,于孕36 - 40周接受超声检查,并在检查后4周内分娩。IFC被定义为产时胎儿心率异常或产时胎儿头皮pH值<7.20且需要剖宫产、新生儿脐带血pH值<7.20、5分钟阿氏评分<7以及产后入住新生儿或儿科重症监护病房的综合情况。单独计算并结合其他围产期参数,使用单变量和多变量逻辑回归模型计算CPR对IFC的预测准确性,这些模型交替纳入临产开始情况以评估引产(IOL)对IFC的影响,并使用两个参数的简短综合不良结局来证明该方法的优势。IFC的发生率为17.9%。CPR的敏感度在假阳性率(FFR)为10时为30.4%,在假阳性比例(FPP)为5%时为14.7%(曲线下面积[AUC]=0.62,P<0.001)。多变量分析表明,仅胎儿性别和产次可单独提高CPR的预测准确性,尽管改善程度不佳(AUC = 0.67,P<0.001)。使用任何替代模型均未观察到差异。最后,IOL对IFC没有影响。尽管表面正常,但一部分第百分位数以上生长的胎儿会发生IFC。其中一些适合通过CPR进行检测。