Deffner Veronika, Küchenhoff Helmut, Breitner Susanne, Schneider Alexandra, Cyrys Josef, Peters Annette
Statistical Consulting Unit, Department of Statistics, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Akademiestr. 1, 80799, Munich, Germany.
Institute of Epidemiology II, Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health (GmbH), Ingolstädter Landstr. 1, 85764, Neuherberg, Germany.
Biom J. 2018 May;60(3):480-497. doi: 10.1002/bimj.201600188. Epub 2018 Mar 13.
The ultrafine particle measurements in the Augsburger Umweltstudie, a panel study conducted in Augsburg, Germany, exhibit measurement error from various sources. Measurements of mobile devices show classical possibly individual-specific measurement error; Berkson-type error, which may also vary individually, occurs, if measurements of fixed monitoring stations are used. The combination of fixed site and individual exposure measurements results in a mixture of the two error types. We extended existing bias analysis approaches to linear mixed models with a complex error structure including individual-specific error components, autocorrelated errors, and a mixture of classical and Berkson error. Theoretical considerations and simulation results show, that autocorrelation may severely change the attenuation of the effect estimations. Furthermore, unbalanced designs and the inclusion of confounding variables influence the degree of attenuation. Bias correction with the method of moments using data with mixture measurement error partially yielded better results compared to the usage of incomplete data with classical error. Confidence intervals (CIs) based on the delta method achieved better coverage probabilities than those based on Bootstrap samples. Moreover, we present the application of these new methods to heart rate measurements within the Augsburger Umweltstudie: the corrected effect estimates were slightly higher than their naive equivalents. The substantial measurement error of ultrafine particle measurements has little impact on the results. The developed methodology is generally applicable to longitudinal data with measurement error.
在德国奥格斯堡进行的一项面板研究——奥格斯堡环境研究中,超细颗粒物测量存在来自各种来源的测量误差。移动设备的测量显示出典型的可能因个体而异的测量误差;如果使用固定监测站的测量数据,则会出现伯克森型误差,这种误差也可能因人而异。固定站点测量与个体暴露测量相结合,导致两种误差类型混合出现。我们将现有的偏差分析方法扩展到具有复杂误差结构的线性混合模型,该结构包括个体特定误差成分、自相关误差以及经典误差与伯克森误差的混合。理论考量和模拟结果表明,自相关可能会严重改变效应估计值的衰减情况。此外,不平衡设计以及混杂变量的纳入会影响衰减程度。与使用具有经典误差的不完整数据相比,使用具有混合测量误差的数据通过矩量法进行偏差校正部分地产生了更好的结果。基于德尔塔方法的置信区间(CIs)比基于自助抽样的置信区间具有更好的覆盖概率。此外,我们展示了这些新方法在奥格斯堡环境研究中心率测量中的应用:校正后的效应估计值略高于未经校正的等效值。超细颗粒物测量中存在的大量测量误差对结果影响不大。所开发的方法通常适用于存在测量误差的纵向数据。