Wu Jun, Laurent Olivier, Li Lianfa, Hu Jianlin, Kleeman Michael
Res Rep Health Eff Inst. 2016;2016(188):1-58.
There is growing epidemiologic evidence of associations between maternal exposure to ambient air pollution and adverse birth outcomes, such as preterm birth (PTB). Recently, a few studies have also reported that exposure to ambient air pollution may also increase the risk of some common pregnancy complications, such as preeclampsia and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Research findings, however, have been mixed. These inconsistent results could reflect genuine differences in the study populations, the study locations, the specific pollutants considered, the designs of the study, its methods of analysis, or random variation. Dr. Jun Wu of the University of California– Irvine, a recipient of HEI’s Walter A. Rosenblith New Investigator Award, and colleagues have examined the association between air pollution and adverse birth and pregnancy outcomes in California women. In addition, they examined the effect modification by socioeconomic status (SES) and other factors.
A retrospective nested case–control study was conducted using birth certificate data from about 4.4 million birth records in California from 2001 to 2008. Wu and colleagues analyzed data on low birth weight (LBW) at term (infants born between 37 and 43 weeks of gestation and weighing less than 2500 g), PTB (infants born before 37 weeks of gestation), and preeclampsia (including eclampsia) of the mother during the pregnancy. In addition, they obtained data on GDM for the years 2006– 2008. In the analyses, all outcomes were included as binary variables. Maternal residential addresses at the time of delivery were geocoded, and a large suite of air pollution exposure metrics was considered, such as (1) regulatory monitoring data on concentrations of criteria pollutants NO2, PM2.5 (particulate matter ≤ 2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter), and ozone (O3) estimated by empirical Bayesian kriging; (2) concentrations of primary and secondary PM2.5 and PM0.1 components and sources estimated by the University of California–Davis Chemical Transport Model; (3) traffic-related ultrafine particles and concentrations of carbon monoxide (CO) and nitrogen oxides (NOx) estimated by a modified CALINE4 air pollution dispersion model; and (4) proximity to busy roads, road length, and traffic density calculated for different buffer sizes using geographic information system tools. In total, 50 different exposure metrics were available for the analyses. The exposure of primary interest was the mean of the entire pregnancy period for each mother. For the health analyses, controls were randomly selected from the source population. PTB controls were matched on conception year. Term LBW, preeclampsia, and GDM were analyzed using generalized additive mixed models with inclusion of a random effect per hospital. PTB analyses were conducted using conditional logistic regression, with no adjustment for hospital. The main results— adjusted for race and education as categorical variables and adjusted for maternal age and median household income at the census-block level—were derived from single-pollutant models.
In its independent review of the study, the HEI Health Review Committee concluded that Wu and colleagues had conducted a comprehensive nested case–control study of air pollution and adverse birth and pregnancy outcomes. The very large data set and the extensive exposure assessment were strengths of the study. The study documented associations between increases in various air pollution metrics and increased risks of PTB, whereas the evidence was weaker overall for term LBW; in addition, decreases in many air pollution metrics were associated with an increased risk of preeclampsia and GDM, an unexpected result. The investigators suggested that underreporting in the registry data, especially in lower-SES groups, might have caused the many negative associations found for preeclampsia and GDM. In addition, poor geocoding was listed as a potential explanation, affecting in particular the results that were based on measures of proximity to busy roads and traffic density in the smallest buffer size (50 m). However, those issues were not fully explored. In general, the Committee thought that the analysis of road traffic indicators in the 50 m buffer was hampered by the lack of contrast and that the results are therefore difficult to interpret. Some other issues with the analytical approaches should be considered when interpreting the results. Only a subset of controls was used, to reduce computational demands. Hence, some models did not converge, especially in the subgroup analyses. Most of the results in the report were based on analyses using single-pollutant models, which is a reasonable approach but ignores that people are exposed to complex mixtures of pollutants. The Committee believed that the few two-pollutant models that were run provided important insights: these models showed the strongest association for PM2.5 mass, whereas components and source-specific positive associations largely disappeared after adjusting for PM2.5 mass. This study adds to the ongoing debate about whether some particle components and sources are of greater public health concern than others.
越来越多的流行病学证据表明,母亲暴露于环境空气污染与不良出生结局之间存在关联,如早产(PTB)。最近,一些研究还报告称,暴露于环境空气污染也可能增加某些常见妊娠并发症的风险,如先兆子痫和妊娠期糖尿病(GDM)。然而,研究结果不一。这些不一致的结果可能反映了研究人群、研究地点、所考虑的特定污染物、研究设计、分析方法或随机变异方面的真正差异。加利福尼亚大学欧文分校的吴军博士(获得健康效应研究所的沃尔特·A·罗森布利特新研究员奖)及其同事研究了加利福尼亚州女性空气污染与不良出生及妊娠结局之间的关联。此外,他们还研究了社会经济地位(SES)和其他因素的效应修正作用。
采用回顾性巢式病例对照研究,使用了2001年至2008年加利福尼亚州约440万份出生记录中的出生证明数据。吴军及其同事分析了足月低出生体重(LBW)(妊娠37至43周出生且体重小于2500 g的婴儿)、早产(妊娠37周前出生的婴儿)以及母亲孕期先兆子痫(包括子痫)的数据。此外,他们还获取了2006 - 2008年妊娠期糖尿病的数据。在分析中,所有结局均作为二元变量纳入。分娩时母亲的居住地址进行了地理编码,并考虑了一大套空气污染暴露指标,例如:(1)通过经验贝叶斯克里金法估算的标准污染物二氧化氮(NO2)、细颗粒物(PM2.5,空气动力学直径≤2.5μm的颗粒物)和臭氧(O3)浓度的监管监测数据;(2)加利福尼亚大学戴维斯分校化学传输模型估算的一次和二次PM2.5及PM0.1成分和来源的浓度;(3)通过改进的CALINE4空气污染扩散模型估算的与交通相关的超细颗粒物以及一氧化碳(CO)和氮氧化物(NOx)的浓度;(4)使用地理信息系统工具针对不同缓冲大小计算的靠近繁忙道路的程度、道路长度和交通密度。总共50种不同的暴露指标可用于分析。主要关注的暴露因素是每位母亲整个孕期的平均值。在健康分析中,对照从源人群中随机选取。早产对照按受孕年份进行匹配。足月低出生体重、先兆子痫和妊娠期糖尿病采用广义相加混合模型进行分析,并纳入每家医院的随机效应。早产分析采用条件逻辑回归,未对医院进行调整。主要结果——按种族和教育程度作为分类变量进行调整,并在人口普查街区层面按母亲年龄和家庭收入中位数进行调整——来自单污染物模型。
健康效应研究所健康审查委员会在其对该研究的独立审查中得出结论,吴军及其同事对空气污染与不良出生及妊娠结局进行了全面的巢式病例对照研究。非常大的数据集和广泛的暴露评估是该研究的优势。该研究记录了各种空气污染指标增加与早产风险增加之间的关联,而足月低出生体重的总体证据较弱;此外,许多空气污染指标的降低与先兆子痫和妊娠期糖尿病风险增加相关,这是一个意外结果。研究人员认为,登记数据中的漏报,尤其是在低社会经济地位群体中,可能导致了先兆子痫和妊娠期糖尿病中发现的许多负相关。此外,地理编码不佳被列为一个潜在解释,尤其影响基于最小缓冲大小(50米)的靠近繁忙道路程度和交通密度测量结果。然而,这些问题并未得到充分探讨。总体而言,委员会认为50米缓冲区内道路交通指标的分析因缺乏对比而受阻,因此结果难以解释。在解释结果时应考虑分析方法的其他一些问题。仅使用了一部分对照来减少计算需求。因此,一些模型未收敛,尤其是在亚组分析中。报告中的大多数结果基于单污染物模型分析,这是一种合理的方法,但忽略了人们暴露于复杂污染物混合物的情况。委员会认为所运行的少数双污染物模型提供了重要见解:这些模型显示PM2.5质量的关联最强,而在调整PM2.5质量后,成分和源特异性正相关大多消失。这项研究为正在进行的关于某些颗粒物成分和来源是否比其他成分和来源更值得关注公众健康的辩论增添了内容。