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连点成线:虚幻的模式认知预示着对阴谋论和超自然现象的笃信。

Connecting the dots: Illusory pattern perception predicts belief in conspiracies and the supernatural.

作者信息

van Prooijen Jan-Willem, Douglas Karen M, De Inocencio Clara

机构信息

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam The Netherlands.

The NSCR The Netherlands.

出版信息

Eur J Soc Psychol. 2018 Apr;48(3):320-335. doi: 10.1002/ejsp.2331. Epub 2017 Sep 25.

DOI:10.1002/ejsp.2331
PMID:29695889
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5900972/
Abstract

A common assumption is that belief in conspiracy theories and supernatural phenomena are grounded in illusory pattern perception. In the present research we systematically tested this assumption. Study 1 revealed that such irrational beliefs are related to perceiving patterns in randomly generated coin toss outcomes. In Study 2, pattern search instructions exerted an indirect effect on irrational beliefs through pattern perception. Study 3 revealed that perceiving patterns in chaotic but not in structured paintings predicted irrational beliefs. In Study 4, we found that agreement with texts supporting paranormal phenomena or conspiracy theories predicted pattern perception. In Study 5, we manipulated belief in a specific conspiracy theory. This manipulation influenced the extent to which people perceive patterns in world events, which in turn predicted unrelated irrational beliefs. We conclude that illusory pattern perception is a central cognitive mechanism accounting for conspiracy theories and supernatural beliefs.

摘要

一种常见的假设是,对阴谋论和超自然现象的信念基于虚幻的模式感知。在本研究中,我们系统地检验了这一假设。研究1表明,这种非理性信念与在随机生成的抛硬币结果中感知模式有关。在研究2中,模式搜索指令通过模式感知对非理性信念产生间接影响。研究3表明,在混乱而非结构化的画作中感知模式可预测非理性信念。在研究4中,我们发现对支持超自然现象或阴谋论的文本的认同可预测模式感知。在研究5中,我们操纵了对特定阴谋论的信念。这种操纵影响了人们在世界事件中感知模式的程度,而这反过来又预测了不相关的非理性信念。我们得出结论,虚幻的模式感知是解释阴谋论和超自然信念的核心认知机制。

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本文引用的文献

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Why Education Predicts Decreased Belief in Conspiracy Theories.为何教育会导致对阴谋论的信任度下降。
Appl Cogn Psychol. 2017 Jan-Feb;31(1):50-58. doi: 10.1002/acp.3301. Epub 2016 Nov 28.
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Nothing Happens by Accident, or Does It? A Low Prior for Randomness Does Not Explain Belief in Conspiracy Theories.一切皆非偶然,果真如此吗?对随机性的低先验概率并不能解释对阴谋论的笃信。
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Analytic thinking reduces belief in conspiracy theories.分析性思维会减少对阴谋论的相信程度。
走向阴谋论的文化心理学:对“地平说”信奉者的生活叙事分析
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Conspiracy mentality, subclinical paranoia, and political conservatism are associated with perceived status threat.阴谋心态、亚临床偏执和政治保守主义与感知到的地位威胁有关。
PLoS One. 2023 Nov 22;18(11):e0293930. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0293930. eCollection 2023.
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Terrorist attacks sharpen the binary perception of "Us" vs. "Them".恐怖袭击加剧了“我们”与“他们”的二元对立观念。
Sci Rep. 2023 Aug 1;13(1):12451. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-39035-3.
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From Conspiracy to Hesitancy: The Longitudinal Impact of COVID-19 Vaccine Conspiracy Theories on Perceived Vaccine Effectiveness.从阴谋论到犹豫态度:新冠疫苗阴谋论对感知疫苗有效性的纵向影响
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Investigating False Memory and Illusory Pattern Perception Bias in Schizophrenia Patients with and without Delusions.对有妄想和无妄想精神分裂症患者的错误记忆及虚幻模式感知偏差的研究。
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Medical conspiracy theories and health behaviors in the United States.美国的医学阴谋论与健康行为
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