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基于时空数据挖掘技术的华东地区暴雨时空动态分析

[Spatial-temporal dynamics of rainstorm in East China based on spatial-temporal data mining technology].

作者信息

Lou Ning

机构信息

College of Geomatics, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Xi'an 715004, China.

出版信息

Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2017 Dec;28(12):4043-4050. doi: 10.13287/j.1001-9332.201712.012.

Abstract

Based on TRMM 3B42 precipitation data, 5 time series at annual scale were constructed. Then the spatial and temporal dynamics of rainstorm in East China region from 2003 to 2015 were evaluated in the support of data mining and GIS spatial analysis technology. The results showed that, the spatial distributions of annual precipitation and annual rainstorm precipitation were similar during 2003-2015. Annual precipitation exhibited a slight increase trend while annual rainstorm ratio showed significant fluctuation. The imbalanced distribution of rainstorm in latitudinal direction was more obvious than that of longitudinal direction. Annual rainstorm frequency changed smoothly with significant spatial difference. Rainstorm showed a tendency of moving to north in the past 13 years. The changing trends of the five variables showed significant spatial differences, and most pixels showed non-significant increasing (or decreasing) trends.

摘要

基于热带降雨测量任务(TRMM)3B42降水数据,构建了5个年尺度的时间序列。然后,在数据挖掘和地理信息系统(GIS)空间分析技术的支持下,对2003年至2015年华东地区暴雨的时空动态进行了评估。结果表明,2003 - 2015年期间年降水量和年暴雨降水量的空间分布相似。年降水量呈轻微增加趋势,而年暴雨比率则呈现出显著波动。暴雨在纬度方向上的不均衡分布比在经度方向上更为明显。年暴雨频率变化平稳,但存在显著的空间差异。在过去13年里,暴雨呈现向北移动的趋势。这五个变量的变化趋势存在显著的空间差异,大多数像元呈现出不显著的增加(或减少)趋势。

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