Spiliopoulos Leonidas, Ortmann Andreas
1Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany.
2University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Exp Econ. 2018;21(2):383-433. doi: 10.1007/s10683-017-9528-1. Epub 2017 May 24.
For decisions in the wild, time is of the essence. Available decision time is often cut short through natural or artificial constraints, or is impinged upon by the opportunity cost of time. Experimental economists have only recently begun to conduct experiments with time constraints and to analyze response time (RT) data, in contrast to experimental psychologists. RT analysis has proven valuable for the identification of individual and strategic decision processes including identification of social preferences in the latter case, model comparison/selection, and the investigation of heuristics that combine speed and performance by exploiting environmental regularities. Here we focus on the benefits, challenges, and desiderata of RT analysis in strategic decision making. We argue that unlocking the potential of RT analysis requires the adoption of process-based models instead of outcome-based models, and discuss how RT in the wild can be captured by time-constrained experiments in the lab. We conclude that RT analysis holds considerable potential for experimental economics, deserves greater attention as a methodological tool, and promises important insights on strategic decision making in naturally occurring environments.
对于现实中的决策而言,时间至关重要。可用的决策时间常常因自然或人为限制而缩短,或者受到时间机会成本的影响。与实验心理学家不同,实验经济学家直到最近才开始进行有时间限制的实验,并分析反应时间(RT)数据。RT分析已被证明对于识别个体和战略决策过程很有价值,包括在后一种情况下识别社会偏好、模型比较/选择,以及通过利用环境规律来研究结合速度和性能的启发式方法。在这里,我们关注RT分析在战略决策中的益处、挑战和需求。我们认为,要释放RT分析的潜力,需要采用基于过程的模型而非基于结果的模型,并讨论如何通过实验室中的时间限制实验来捕捉现实中的RT。我们得出结论,RT分析在实验经济学中具有相当大的潜力,作为一种方法工具值得更多关注,并有望为自然环境中的战略决策提供重要见解。