School of Business Administration, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China; Department of Agricultural, Food and Resource Economics, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, NJ 08901, USA.
School of Business Administration, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China; State Key Laboratory of Heavy Oil Processing, China University of Petroleum-Beijing, Beijing 102249, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2018 Nov 1;640-641:293-302. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.322. Epub 2018 May 31.
This study aims to test the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) for carbon dioxide (CO) emissions in China by developing a new framework based on the suggestion of Narayan and Narayan (2010). The dynamic effect of natural gas and renewable energy consumption on CO emissions is also analyzed. Considering the structural break observed in the sample, a series of econometric techniques allowing for structural breaks is utilized for the period 1965-2016. The empirical results confirm the existence of the EKC for CO emissions in China. Furthermore, in both the long-run and the short-run, the beneficial effects of natural gas and renewables on CO emission reduction are observable. In addition, the mitigation effect of natural gas on CO emissions will be weakened over time, while renewables will become progressively more important. Finally, policy suggestions are highlighted not only for mitigating CO emissions, but also for promoting growth in the natural gas and renewable energy industries.
本研究旨在通过基于 Narayan 和 Narayan（2010）建议的新框架，检验中国二氧化碳（CO）排放的环境库兹涅茨曲线（EKC）。还分析了天然气和可再生能源消费对 CO 排放的动态影响。考虑到样本中观察到的结构断裂，我们在 1965-2016 年期间使用了一系列允许结构断裂的计量经济学技术。实证结果证实了中国 CO 排放存在 EKC。此外，在长期和短期，天然气和可再生能源对 CO 减排的有益影响都是显而易见的。此外，天然气对 CO 排放的缓解作用将随着时间的推移而减弱，而可再生能源将变得越来越重要。最后，不仅强调了减轻 CO 排放的政策建议，还强调了促进天然气和可再生能源产业增长的政策建议。
